“Several measures such as waiting at home reduce U.S. dead to one-tenth” Research Group, March 26, 8:53 AM
If no measures were taken against the spread of the new coronavirus in the United States, about 2.2 million people could die in the United States, but if enough measures such as waiting at home were taken, about one-tenth would die Research groups from the United Kingdom and others have compiled the results of the analysis that can be suppressed to
Research groups at the University of England, Imperial College London, and others have analyzed the extent to which measures to curb movement and access, such as restricting outings and leaving schools, can affect the rise in the number of infected people in the United States. Published on the official website.
If the virus spreads from one infected person to two or three people, the number of severely ill patients will continue to increase until mid-June, if no measures are taken to prevent the spread of the virus. The death toll is estimated to be around 2.2 million.
On the other hand, if most infected people stay at home to avoid contact with non-family people or close schools and colleges for more than five months, the number of severely ill patients will increase. The maximum time can be delayed until December, and the number of deaths can be reduced to about one-tenth that of not doing anything.
On the other hand, even with the most stringent measures, the number of severely ill patients is expected to significantly exceed the capacity of medical institutions' intensive care units.
Because these measures have a large effect on people's lives and society, the research group should repeat the cycle of taking measures that do not cause a large burden for two months, returning to the original for one month, and taking measures again. Point out that there is a possibility that the damage may be reduced.