New crown pneumonia epidemic will change nine ideas
Xiaolin Ma (Professor, Zhejiang University of Foreign Studies)
As of 18:30 pm on March 20th, Beijing time, the epidemic of new crown pneumonia spread to hundreds of countries and regions on six continents, of which 88 countries formed local transmission. A total of 247,406 cases were diagnosed, 10,225 cases were dead, and 89,275 cases were cured. If counted from the first case notified by the Wuhan Health Commission on December 8, last year, the epidemic has just passed a hundred days. I don't know when the epidemic prevention war will end, but it has already impacted at least the nine concepts and will affect the world's development after the dust has settled.
The first is the concept of security. From the perspective of the number of countries affected, the number of countries, population size, economic losses, collective panic, and preparations for war in various countries, the new crown pneumonia epidemic, in addition to the number of casualties, its soft kill can be called the "third world war" without gunpowder smoke. It is not only a traditional resurrection of the traditional security threat, the modern version of the ancient plague epidemic, but also a non-traditional threat that spreads its speed and scope geometrically. Textbook definitions of human security and threats will be rewritten.
The second is the concept of ecology. New crown pneumonia virus has been basically identified by scientists as a virus carried by bats. This is the 2003 punishment for food chain disorders after the SARS outbreak caused by the civet-borne virus. A thorough understanding of the concept of ecological civilization, rationalizing the harmonious relationship between creatures, and new ecological concepts such as "awe of nature" and "away from danger and strange animals and plants" will be deeply rooted in the hearts of the people.
The third is the concept of health. One of the reasons for the rapid outbreak of new crown pneumonia is close-range transmission, including physical contact, respiration, and the second transmission of droplets. People will deepen their awareness of "distance creates safety" and accept many good habits and even appropriate customs. For example, wearing masks in densely populated places, washing hands, disinfecting, dividing meals, and using public chopsticks and spoons become rigid hygiene requirements, and keep away from bad habits and game. Reduce social cuddling and avoid close kisses in social situations. Recently, the Vatican Pope refused to kiss believers, the British Prince Charles commemorates the greetings, and US Vice President Pence's elbow greetings aroused attention, showing the efforts of public figures to lead safe social etiquette.
The fourth is the international outlook. The new crown pneumonia epidemic has fully tested who are true friends, who are long-lasting friends, and who are superficial friends, and have witnessed who will never be friends. Difficulty is approaching, more than 50 countries "close the country" outsiders will not enter; the EU restores the hard border, member countries restrict exports and even intercept transit epidemic prevention supplies; governments of all countries open their homes to overseas diasporas based on internal affairs; diasporas look forward to returning because of a lack of security motherland. These landscapes strongly impacted the concepts of humanitarianism and internationalism, and re-strengthened the traditional concepts of international law such as state, sovereignty, nation, border and territory.
The fifth is the concept of governance. The various bazaars of various political, social and economic systems formed in nearly 200 countries around the world have revealed a variety of programs and models in the prevention of this epidemic. Some are people-oriented, some give priority to ensuring economic growth; some isolate urban areas and block all borders; some declare a state of emergency, some enter a state of war, and impose curfew; some requisition private Materials, and some people pay cash… Practice has proved that the governance model is not the best but only the better, but advocating science, rationality, and professionalism will become important considerations for national governance.
The sixth is the concept of life. Different cultures and traditions have different definitions and judgments on the value of life, and they are also fully reflected in the global battle of New Crown Pneumonia. Cherish every living person, amnesty for prisoners outside the law, those who do nothing in the name of "collective immunity", and those who suffer from insufficient resources and adopt the "disaster medicine" model to give priority to young people. Of it. In the post-new crown era, the concept of life that does not exist in the global scope will be more diverse.
The seventh is the industrial outlook. The world has already entered an era of infinite extension of the industrial chain. One upstream and downstream chain of computer production can connect more than half of the earth, forming industrial gradients and division of labor in different economies and stages of development, forming an industrial chain and supply of economic and trade globalization. Chain and value chain. However, the new crown pneumonia epidemic triggered global closures, circuit breaks, navigation cuts, retreats, visa refusals, and material seizures, shaking these three chains and triggering a shake-up of the industrial layout. The epidemic may lead to the decentralization, diversification, and facilitation of industrial modules in the world. The localization of key products such as N95 masks may become a trend. Economic sovereignty will be reaffirmed, and the popular trading system and globalization process may have suffered a setback.
The eighth is the concept of wealth. The new crown pneumonia epidemic gathered multiple ominous "animal" behaviors: the butterfly effect, the advent of black swans, the arrival of gray rhinos, the clearing of oil tigers, the stock market bulls and bears ... Global economic growth is affected, world wealth has shrunk unprecedentedly, and the meso-micro level The global transportation and tertiary industries have been hit hard. Consumption concepts will inevitably change after the epidemic, and conservative savings-type consumption will overwhelm open loan-type consumption.
The ninth is education. Society is the best school, life is the best classroom, and personal experience is the best textbook. The various crises and consequences derived from the new crown pneumonia epidemic are enough to reshape the world, country, society and family, and to change the three perspectives, four virtues, five hearts, six desires, and seven emotions of those who have experienced it. This change is far from being comparable to innovations brought by spatial barriers such as online teaching and distance education. It is a new thinking and solution to the external world and human existence.
Recently, Thomas Friedman, author of the economic globalization masterpiece "The World is Flat," proposed that this year will be a watershed in the development of the new world. Last year was "Before Corolla (BC)" and next year was "After Corolla (AC)." Seeing this comment is very similar. The world will change.