Dilemmas in the government formation The password is "joint" .. Is Israel heading for a fourth election?

Mohamed Mohsen Wedd - occupied Jerusalem

The Israeli political scene seemed more complicated and hazy with the official announcement on Tuesday of the results of the third Knesset elections - in less than a year - that the strength of the Likud party bloc and its allies led by outgoing Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stopped at a barrier of 58 seats, and the party refused to sign the election results, in a sign of skepticism. In which.

Amid skepticism from the right-wing bloc, a blue-and-white coalition headed by Benny Gantz is betting on a scenario of forming a minority government with the support of the Joint Arab List that won 15 seats, "as a first step that paves the way for establishing a government of national unity, in order to avoid Israel leading to a fourth election," according to Gantz. .

But the Gantz scenario of forming a government with the support of Arab deputies faces opposition from the two Knesset representatives from the Blue and White Alliance, Zvi Hauser and Yaaz Hendel, the opposition that Netanyahu is counting on to cause a coalition split that enables him to form a narrow right-wing government.

Common demands
Ayman, head of the joint list, anticipated the return of the talks session with a blue and white delegation by announcing through his Facebook page about the political conditions for the joint of any agreement with Gantz, namely the rejection of any unilateral plan through the deal of the century, and affirming that the Al-Aqsa Mosque is a place of prayer for Muslims only, and East Jerusalem An irreplaceable capital for the Palestinian state.

On civil issues, Odeh calls for "a comprehensive economic plan and plan to combat violence and crime in Arab society, recognition of the villages that Israel does not recognize in the Negev, and resolving the issue of the villages of Iqrit and Kafr Bud and abolishing the Kaments law" to accelerate the demolition of Arab homes.

In response to the demands announced by Odeh, the Blue and White Alliance confirmed that the talks being held by the coalition delegation, represented by Ofer Shelah and Avi Nissanorin, will be only on civil issues, without going into political issues, including the US peace plan in the Middle East.

In isolation from the joint demands, the opposition expressed by the two members postponed the negotiation session between a blue and white delegation and the components of the joint Arab list until Wednesday after it was scheduled on Tuesday evening, after each party raised the ceiling of its demands prior to the start of negotiations to form a minority government, knowing that Hauser and Handel were pushing inside The alliance towards the scenario of forming a national unity government with the Likud.

Final say
Between Netanyahu's camp and his chances of forming a narrow right-wing government, and between Gantz's camp and its prospects for forming a minority government, the joint owner has the last say and influencing the political scene and the scenarios of forming the government or Israel's dragging into fourth elections, if there are no rifts within the alliances and the Likud and Blue and White did not reach understandings, Netanyahu and Gantz made no concessions.

"The position of the assembly is stable and has not changed, which is not entering a government neither with Netanyahu nor with Gantz," said the president of the National Democratic Assembly, which is affiliated with the Joint Arab List, Representative Emmans Shehadeh, stressing in his speech to Al Jazeera Net that the possibilities of forming a minority government are supported by the joint list, especially in light of the opposition. Intense inside a white blue, indicating that things are not over and there is no agreement.

Shehadeh explained that after negotiations and assessing the situation, the decision will ultimately be on the joint list, and whether it will support a minority government headed by Gantz, saying: "Our position is clear, we recommend repealing the Camints law, abolishing the law of nationalism, realizing the rights of our society and our people and resolving its outstanding issues."

He stressed the necessity that the joint vehicles be cautious and cautious during dealing with blue and white negotiations and proposals, stressing that the demands of the Arab masses inside are summed up in full citizenship and the legitimate and legitimate rights of the Palestinian people.

Several scenarios
In a sign of the impossibility of forming a national unity government headed by Netanyahu, and in an effort to persuade the Israeli public to accept the idea of ​​forming a government with the support of Arab representatives and to thwart the opposition in Blue and White for such a scenario, the leader of the coalition, Yair Lapid leader Yair Lapid, wrote on Twitter, said In it, "the joint will not be part of the minority government. They will vote once outside of it. Their vote and support is better than going to a fourth election."

In a scene not very different from last September's elections, the right-wing camp seemed more coherent (58 seats), as it strengthened its strength by 3 additional seats compared to the previous elections, but it failed to get 61 seats out of 120 seats to form a narrow government.

However, Netanyahu, who has the support of the right-wing Likud bloc (36 seats), the Haredi “Shas” parties (9 seats) and “Judaism Judaism” (7 seats) and the right-wing coalition “Right” (6 seats), faces corruption charges that His chances of forming a government deepen, with the start of his first trial session on March 17 after his request to postpone the session was rejected.

On the other hand, the prospects for forming a minority government seem weak. The camp of the centrist coalition (47 seats) appears more fragile and is not harmonious and without solid common denominators, especially in the Blue and White Alliance (33 seats), the "Yisrael Beiteinu" party (7 seats) and the Zionist left represented by " Labor-Gescher-Meretz "(7 seats), which suffered a setback in the elections this March, in an indication of his possible disappearance from the political scene.