(Fighting New Coronary Pneumonia) Zhang Wenhong talks about the global spread of the epidemic: "The forecast has begun, but the outcome has not been predicted"

China News Service, Shanghai, February 28 (Reporter Li Peng) Zhang Wenhong, the leader of Shanghai New Crown Pneumonia Medical Treatment Expert Team and director of the Department of Infectious Diseases, Huashan Hospital affiliated to Fudan University, said in an exclusive interview with a reporter from China News Agency on the 28th: It is being submitted. It is indeed possible to control the epidemic in 2-4 months. But we predicted the beginning and did not predict the result. "

On February 28, Zhang Wenhong, the leader of Shanghai New Crown Pneumonia Medical Treatment Expert Team and director of the Department of Infectious Diseases, Huashan Hospital affiliated to Fudan University, accepted an exclusive interview with a reporter from China News Agency. Photo by China News Agency reporter Tang Yanjun

When the new crown pneumonia epidemic just broke out, Zhang Wenhong had predicted that there might be three situations in China's anti-epidemic situation: the first one is very smooth and should be controlled within 2-4 months; the second is staleness, which takes about 6 months; Three are that China cannot control and the epidemic is sweeping the globe.

Zhang Wenhong said, "In the beginning, you thought China was in control, and the world was okay. Now you find that China's situation is gradually controlled, but the world is in trouble."

At present, the number of newly confirmed cases abroad has surpassed China for two consecutive days. Zhang Wenhong said, "This situation tells us that there are some bad signs in the world. Now that China is gradually being controlled, the world has spread. This is a very worrying thing."

What if people from other high incidence countries return to China? Zhang Wenhong said that this will bring difficulties to China's epidemic control.

Zhang Wenhong believes that a country and region must have a very good prevention and control strategy in order to control the epidemic. China's experience may not be suitable for other countries, and the strategies of other countries may not be suitable for China. The most essential things about infectious diseases are the same: how to control the source of infection, how to cut off the transmission route, and how to protect the susceptible population. Therefore, each country must then formulate its own prevention and control strategy according to its own national conditions. (Finish)