33 Turkish soldiers were killed in an air raid. The news goes like a shock wave throughout the country. The single biggest tragedy for Turkey in the nine-year war in Syria.

Turkey is stuck in a fox scissors. Despite the rattle of arms and Recep Tayyip Erdogan's thunderous warnings of military attack, the Syrian regime refuses to cease military offensive. Syrian President Bashar al-Assad is determined to take back every square inch of Syrian territory.

Turkey probably does not want a full-scale war with Syria and Russia. The hope is that the threat of violence will force Syria and Russia to the negotiating table. The goal is a diplomatic settlement that will save Turkey from the nightmare scenario of receiving hundreds of thousands of refugees.

Syria does not give in

But yesterday's disastrous news of an air attack on Turkish soldiers clearly shows that Syria and Russia refuse to give up.

Turkey has already responded with firearms fire against Syrian government forces. Erdogan further screws up the rhetoric of a large-scale military offensive.

But on its own it looks like a hopeless project as long as Syria and Russia control the airspace.

NATO and the western world give Turkey their moral support in Idlib but do not want to get involved on the ground. It is not enough for Turkey that requires military support.

A play about free refuge for refugees

It is against this background that one should read Ankaras play to pass refugees to Europe. Turkish government sources state that the refugees have 72 hours to cross the border to Greece or Bulgaria without hindrance. The task has caused refugees to rush to the border.

Critics say that Turkey has to blame itself for the vulnerable situation they are in. But it is not a reasoning that is gaining ground in the Turkish public, where broadcasting channels broadcast live streams of refugees moving towards the Greek border.

Dead soldiers provoke anger

The large number of killed Turkish soldiers provokes a powerful nationalist anger, which loudly demands revenge in every direction.

“Let Syria burn. Let Europe also burn. " writes a famous government journalist on twitter.

It is not inconceivable that this is about redressing the dissatisfaction in the refugee issue. Turkey has already received four million refugees, which is pushing President Erdogan hard for domestic politics.

Whatever one hopes to achieve with the refugee stream is the question is how in the whole world Turkey will succeed in getting out of the locked state of Idlib that is barking at a disaster, both humanitarian and geopolitical.