Donald Trump will be re-elected for a second presidential term, say 66% of American voters. This is evidenced by the results of a public opinion poll conducted by Monmouth University in the United States from February 6 to 9.

Of these, 27% believe that the president will “definitely” win the election, and another 39% said that he would “probably” win.

22% of respondents believe that Trump is “likely to lose” to the Democratic candidate in the 2020 elections, and only 6% of voters are confident that the 45th president will “definitely lose”.

At the same time, 42% of respondents believe that the current owner of the White House should be re-elected, and 55% said that another politician should take his place, regardless of party affiliation.

The survey results also showed that Trump supporters are more confident in his re-election than the opposition - in the possible victory of his candidate.

So, 59% of Republican voters believe that their candidate will win the presidential election in November, while among Democrats only 11% feel this confidence.

Democratic reversal

It is worth noting that the results of the survey were published on the eve of the first Democratic Party primaries held in New Hampshire. This region is considered the traditional stronghold of the Democrats, and the expression of will in this state demonstrates the preferences of voters who vote for Democrats.

  • Bernie Sanders at the New Hampshire Primaries
  • Reuters
  • © Mike Segar

Senator Bernie Sanders won the primaries. According to the results from 90% of the polling stations, about 26% of voters (over 70 thousand people) preferred it. The Sanders platform resonates mainly among young people and the protest electorate, who believe that capitalism and liberal democracy do not match their vision.

Bernie Sanders is popular in these circles due to the fact that he openly considers himself a politician of a social democratic nature and sympathizes with leftist ideas that are gaining popularity in the United States.

The second place was taken by the mayor of South Bend, Pete Buttidzhich, with 24.4% of the vote. Senator Amy Klobushar got the third place according to the voting results - 19.8%.

The American media particularly note the extremely low result of former vice president Joe Biden, who managed to gain only 8.4% of the vote and take fifth place. Biden, from the moment he entered the race for the presidency, has been the leader among other candidates from the Democratic Party, according to numerous opinion polls and analytical forecasts.

However, the results of the first ballots paint the opposite picture: 8.4% of the votes in New Hampshire - this is the second consecutive defeat of Biden. Prior to this, a former vice president and associate of Barack Obama received a 15.8% vote in the Iowa State vote and finished fourth, losing to Sanders, Buttigic and Elizabeth Warren.

The first party primaries demonstrated that the Democratic Party does not have a leader, and Biden, who was predicted to win, is a politician of yesterday, Vladimir Vasiliev, the chief researcher at the Institute of the USA and Canada of the Russian Academy of Sciences, said in an interview with RT.

“Practice shows that almost no Democratic candidate became a nominee if he lost the first primaries, which is not the best evidence for Biden’s prospects. As a result of the vote rigging, Pete Buttidzhich went to the first three, who, just like Biden, represents the centrist wing. After these primaries, the Democratic Party shows a tendency to renew the asset, a desire to put forward new young politicians, ”the expert noted.

Vladimir Vasiliev added that the result of the first primaries clearly confirmed that left-wing politicians are strengthening their positions in the Democratic Party.

“But this does not suit the top of the party leadership, which will try, as in 2016, to stop Sanders' breakthrough, since such a political figure can split the party even more,” the political scientist explained.

The fact that Joe Biden could not become a single candidate from the Democratic Party was understandable from the very beginning, since the Democrats are betting on ethnic, religious and sexual minorities, Alexander Domrin, Associate Professor at the Higher School of Economics, said in a conversation with RT.

“Biden's only advantage was that he was vice president of the popular head of state of African American descent, in other respects he loses to his brighter rivals - Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren,” the expert noted.

Trump Gain

Donald Trump himself, on the eve of the New Hampshire vote, speaking to his supporters, said that everyone who votes for the Democrats cast their ballots to weak candidates.

  • New Hampshire Primary Voting February 11th
  • Reuters
  • © Rick Wilking

“If you want to vote tomorrow for a weak candidate, then go ahead. Choose someone. Choose the weak candidate, in your opinion. I don’t know who it is, ”Trump condescendingly commented on the primaries.

At the same time, political strategists and campaign strategists Donald Trump were satisfied with the results of two votes: Bernie Sanders is convenient to attack because of his commitment to socialist ideas, and Pete Buttigic is a faceless candidate.

“Bernie Sanders is like the ridiculous grandfather you're trying to avoid at a family outing.” And Mayor Pete Buttigic is the tenth person you connect to the conference call when hiring a consulting firm. None of them have big enough ideas to compare with President Trump, ”NBC quotes Jason Miller, Trump’s communications strategy assistant during the 2016 campaign.

At the same time, Sanders is still a more convenient adversary for the headquarters of the 45th president, people from his circle say.

“For that matter, Republicans are now trying to support Bernie. They note that they put sticks into the wheels. It seems to me that Republicans do not even have to say something to stir up discontent within the Democratic Party, but they still do a little trolling in Bernie’s favor, ”one of Trump’s election headquarters officials told NBC.

Müller’s impeachment and investigation into relations with Russia benefited the president because he rallied the Republican Party around him, Vladimir Vasiliev noted.

"The figure of Trump is increasingly beginning to dominate the Democrats, respectively, the Democratic Party is beginning to look for a candidate who could defeat him ... But the Republican Party already has powerful arguments against Biden and all who can be put in his place," considers the expert.

Trump, feeling the weakness of the Democratic Party, will remain true to himself and his voters, said Alexander Domrin.

“The attempt of the Democrats to oust him from power in the process of impeachment rallied his supporters even more,” the political scientist concluded.