In less than a day, North Korea responded to the US President Trump's warning that "everything could be lost." North Korea is also second to none. "We don't want to see the catastrophic aftermath," Lee Su-yong, vice chairman of the Central Committee, said. "We (North Korea) threatened that we have nothing to lose." "It's something that surprised us, but if we're not surprised, we'll be very sorry," he said.

North Korea said, "There is nothing to lose anymore," but North Korea actually has much to lose. North Koreans who cannot eat and live may have nothing to lose, but Kim Jong-un and North Korean powers, who oppress the people with iron fists and monopolize all power, have too much to lose.

So is the confrontation with the United States. There is no country in the world that can stand against the US military, and North Korea is no exception. The United States is not a country without war at all. For this reason, the US President's warning is of considerable weight in itself, and North Korea is ignoring Trump's warnings, saying, "Wow and old." Where does North Korea's unfounded confidence come from?
● North Korea judges favorable situation

It is a miscalculation that North Korea's tactics are the way to go, based on the so-called 'climbing tactics'. North Korea is doing its own precise calculations. We are seeing exactly what the US is about to do.

In democratic countries, elections are an important event of national sovereignty, but during this period, government leadership becomes difficult to exercise in unison. This is because all can be politically debated by opposition parties who want to win the election. Presidents and ruling parties, who are conscious of elections too, must face many restrictions in policy making.

Chairman Kim Jong Un proposed a deadline for negotiations at the end of this year's speech in the Supreme People's Assembly in April this year. North Korea did not have time to wait until the end of this year, but he anticipated that if the United States entered the presidential election, restrictions on President Trump's choice would increase. After closely analyzing the US situation, North Korea sees that it is in a favorable situation and is pushing its new way. In this regard, North Korea's self-confidence has its own grounds.
● Two variables that will determine this phase

The United States is also raising warning levels against North Korea, but it's hard to stick to it like 2017, represented by fire and anger. There is a question of whether war can be waged in the presidential election, and there is also a realistic aspect that war on the Korean peninsula is not easily selectable.

There are two variables as to how this phase will flow. First, where is North Korea's target? The level of tension will depend on whether you are simply pushing to get some more from the United States or whether North Korea is drawing a bigger picture. And what North Korea intends to do soon will be revealed. I will explain what North Korea's 'bigger picture' is through a report file later.

Second is the choice of the United States. If North Korea is an independent actor, the United States is also an important independent actor in this phase. It is true that the presidential election has several limitations, but the choice of President Trump's choice will eventually determine the direction of this development. The tensions that are beginning now seem to continue until next year's presidential election.