New breaches of the wall of the Yemeni crisis .. International pressure or political concessions?

Mohammed Abdul Malik - Al Jazeera Net

New breakthroughs in the Yemeni wall, and intense moves recently started by Saudi Deputy Defense Minister Khalid bin Salman with an unannounced visit to Muscat, followed by UAE National Security Adviser Tahnoon bin Zayed, followed by US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo meeting with his Omani counterpart Yusuf bin Alawi in Washington to discuss A political solution to the five-year war.

These developments have raised questions about whether attempts to stop the war are the result of US pressure on the Saudi-UAE alliance, or are they in the context of concessions and goodwill from everyone to press ahead with the truce negotiations between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis?

Perhaps the most important motives for the movements of Saudis and Emiratis and their visits to Muscat recently are the pressure imposed by Britain and the United States for a ceasefire and a comprehensive settlement of the conflict, according to an adviser in the Yemeni presidency communicated with him.

According to the presidential adviser, there is some marginalization of the Yemeni government and not being involved in the details of the talks, and there are parties in the coalition have a desire to empower the Houthis and weaken the role of the government.

Steady moves
Despite the media discretion surrounding these moves, Omani researcher in international affairs Salim al-Jahouri talked to Al-Jazeera Net about the main objective of the meetings, which, according to his speech, is the culmination of the efforts led by Oman, Kuwait and the United States to find a comprehensive solution to the Yemen crisis, end the Gulf dispute and consolidate the truce. .

According to al-Jahwari, these efforts were represented by direct US meetings in Muscat with representatives of the Houthi group, the legitimate government and the coalition, as a result of the presence of most representatives of the parties to the Yemeni crisis in the Sultanate of Oman, and the results are expected to be officially announced in the coming days.

On the main points agreed upon, al-Jahwari said the media was required to be neutralized in order to succeed, but he said the Houthis would be part of Yemen's future.

He also expected the Omani researcher to resolve the Gulf crisis through the meeting of officials of the countries concerned at the next Gulf summit, so that the Gulf Cup is the beginning, followed by opening the border between Qatar and Saudi Arabia, he said.

The position of the Houthis
In the same vein, a member of the Supreme Political Bureau of the Houthi group Mohammed al-Bakhiti that they are in constant contact with the Omani authorities.

With regard to the reasons for the change of the Saudi and Emirati position, Bakhiti told Al Jazeera Net that the reason for this is due to the steadfastness of the Yemeni people, and not to respond to the American desire to achieve peace.

He added that any move to the coalition towards peace is a nuisance for Washington, because the continuation of the war is still in its favor. "There may come a day when we trust the (Crown Prince) Mohammed bin Salman and the Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi (Mohammed bin Zayed) towards peace, but we We will not trust America. "

The role of Muscat
For his part, the researcher in strategic affairs Abdullah al-Ghilani that the coalition suffered this year a series of breaks on the Yemeni front, led to drastic shifts in approaches related to the management of the conflict, and perhaps the most prominent missile strike on Saudi oil plants, which led to lower degrees The military escalation and the request for dialogue with Iran and the willingness to negotiate with the Houthis.

On the entry of Muscat in the crisis line, Al-Ghilani told Al Jazeera Net that "the engineering of transformations is taking place in Muscat, which has chosen for itself positioned it to play different roles in the management of the Yemeni conflict, until it became a kiss for all parties."

He added that there is a form of political accommodation that is being prepared under the auspices of the Omani security establishment, and that the visit of Khalid bin Salman and Tahnoun bin Zayed to Muscat and the receptions that inspired them are indicating that an exceptional movement is about to result in an initial political consensus.

With regard to the outcome of these attempts, the Omani researcher said that any political agreement between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis will require an extraordinary effort and a long time to reach the most severe and bear fruit.