Pedro Sánchez fails in his plebiscite and Vox shoots at the expense of Citizens

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• Elections. General, minute by minute

The Spaniards have settled accounts. The plebiscitary elections to which Pedro Sánchez approached the country in an attempt to reinforce his aspirations have been a failure. The scenario cast by the elections is devilish.

The polls punish the PSOE even if it remains the first force; they pass a very serious bill to Citizens, who is on the verge of disappearance, and they reward Vox very generously. The PP improves but is far from the bar of the 100 seats, and United We can with its confluences loses oxygen and barely saves some of its furniture.

The revenge of the electors, however, leaves the formation of the Government in the air, even more difficult than after 28-A: neither the block on the left -PSOE, United We Can and More Country- nor the one on the right -PP, Citizens and Vox- have sufficient strength to settle in La Moncloa. The first add 158 seats and the second 153. In votes have been tied with a very slight advantage in favor of the right.

Citizens again impose the punishment of negotiating on the main leaders. Repeat it 1,000 times: You have to agree, you have to unlock the country.

And in that dialogue the clearest plan would go through the formula of the great coalition. Socialists and popular together would guarantee governance by cornering the extremes. It is not, however, an easy scenario. Sanchez and Casado have ruled out during the campaign and, in addition, the meteoric rise of the radical right of Santiago Abascal, consolidated as a third political force, is a reason that weighs like a slab on the leader of the PP to not free the leadership of the opposition.

In spite of everything, any other combination either does not arrive or requires the conjunction of the most diverse forces, including those of an independentist nature. In short, a frankenstein formula.

The bet for the repetition of the elections has gone wrong for Pedro Sánchez. The leader of the PSOE and president of the acting Government urged citizens to speak "more clearly" in their favor and has not succeeded. The dream of touching the 150 seats insistently whispered by the gurus of La Moncloa in his ear has not been fulfilled. Worse, the Socialists have lost their bellows. On 28-A they got 123 seats and now they are left with 120. Their loss of votes is estimated at more than 700,000. Nevertheless, Sanchez addressed his family last night raising the flag of triumph and promising a "progressive" government led by him. Nothing in his words led him to think that he has abandoned hope of getting abstention from the PP.

Your "preferred partner", Unidos Podemos with its confluences, also loses strength. The 28-A added 42 seats now only 35. Its split, Más País, led by Íñigo Errejón, and co-operative in its premiere with Compromís, has only won three seats.

In total, the trio of leftist forces adds 158 seats. Sanchez, in the hypothetical case of overcoming his distrust of Pablo Iglesias and closing an agreement with him, would still need a whole range of small forces and support from secessionism to form a government.

On the right, the great winner has been without discussion Vox. The Santiago Abascal party with almost 3.6 million votes, one million more than those achieved last spring, has more than doubled its seats from 24 to 52. Vox has definitely supplanted Citizens as a third political force and has managed to overcome very widely together we can. Those of Abascal are located at 36 seats of the PP that substantially improves the result of 28-A but does not approach the magic figure of the one hundred deputies.

Pablo Casado, with his most moderate speech and introducing strategic changes in his lists, has managed to add 22 seats to his account. It goes from 66 to 88 and also has the guaranteed support of the two deputies obtained by Navarra Suma. The popular have garnered 600,000 votes more than in April. Its more traditional granaries -Castilla and León, Galicia and Madrid- have responded clearly to the touches that Casado has imposed on its offer. Judging by the words that Casado addressed his followers last night, the PP will remain waiting for the steps taken by the winner of the elections but not willing to allow a Sánchez Government free of charge.

Finally, the growth of the right bloc has been severely weighed down by the sinking without palliative of Citizens. The game of Albert Rivera that in the appointment of 28-A was the one that rose the most now has been overwhelmed.

The orange force has lost 2.5 million votes and 47 seats. Today Citizens only has ten deputies. Rivera did not come to resign last night but said he assumed the failure in the first person; For now, he will convene an extraordinary congress of the party so that it is the militancy that decides the future leadership. A leadership for which, in case of relief, Inés Arrimada is the best placed. The collapse of Citizens is the one that, in short, has prevented the right from surpassing the left.

In addition, 10-N has left another conclusion of great importance: the independence forces gain ground. ERC, JxCat, EH Bildu, CUP and BNG make up this block. The 28-A, without CUP and without BNG, obtained almost 1.9 million votes and a total of 26 seats in the Congress of Deputies. Now with the two new additions, it exceeds two million votes and takes 29 seats in the lower house to defend the thesis of rupture with the State.

Finally, JxCat, the party that controls the fugitive Carles Puigdemont has managed to keep his pulse against ERC, the strength of the damned Oriol Junqueras. The former have won eight seats, one more than those obtained in April, while the latter lost two places and are left with 13.

EH Bildu also wins, winning a seat and now standing with five deputies, just those necessary to form their own parliamentary group. The CUP, premiering in the national political league, has won two seats and the BNG, which returns to the Chamber, has secured a representative.

According to the criteria of The Trust Project

• General elections
• PSOE
• Pedro Sanchez
• PP
• Pablo Casado
• Santiago Abascal Count
• Vox
• United We Can
• Pablo Iglesias
• Iñigo Errejón
• More Country
• Citizens
• Cup
• Bildu
• ERC
• Oriol Junqueras
• Navarra Sum
• Madrid
• Galicia
• Congress of Deputies
• Commitment
• Castile and Leon
• Carles Puigdemont
• Albert rivera
• Politics
• CIS Survey

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