The gender gap in the electorate is deeper than for a long time. According to SVT / Novus, the conservative bloc that Jimmie Åkesson is constantly talking about receives support from 55 percent of the men - but only just under 40 percent of the women.

An important reason for the growing gender difference is the cultural value scale that continues to dominate Swedish politics. It reinforces the diverse preferences of women and men that were previously only seen on the right-left scale. And when tough issues such as gang crime and shooting deaths dominate the debate, the gap is further strengthened.

For the second measurement in a row, SD is the largest party among men, now at 28 percent. One explanation is that SD, more clearly than any other party, links gang crime to immigration and it obviously goes home in some voter groups. Among men between 50 and 64, 34 percent say they would vote for SD if it were their choice today.

More difficult to attract women

The slower the progress among women who give greater priority to welfare issues, the environment / climate and have a less negative view of immigration. Here, the Social Democrats have the largest and have as strong support as the SD among men. Only 13 percent of women prefer SD, which nevertheless gives them third place. The Moderates also have stronger support among men than among women, while the opposite applies to all other parties.

The generation gap is also evident in the electorate. Seven years ago, the Social Democrats launched themselves as the Future Party, where one of the goals was to become more relevant to younger voters. But despite the ambitious approach, the young voters continue to abandon the party. Of course, this is a troublesome development for a party that wants to secure its growth and maintain its position as the largest party even in the long term. Being S is the biggest among pensioners who would never think of casting their vote on any other party is, in short, a difficult future strategy, even though it today gives them a buffer that protects against further rapid and large electoral losses.

For the Moderates, the opposite generation gap applies. The older voters are moderately impressed while they are the largest party among 18-29 year olds. The success of young people has made the youth union MUF an increasingly important power factor in the party, which became clear during the party's meeting this weekend. There, MUF was able to drum through both tightened supply support as well as scrapped alcohol monopoly and an investigation into losing public service.

Marginal movements

Otherwise, the survey shows only marginal movements in opinion. From having lost in every poll since January, the Social Democrats are increasing and are now again above 25 percent. Psychologically important for the party even if the increase is within the margin of error.

Even in this measurement, there is a fight on the knife for second place. The Swedish Democrats are one percentage point larger than the Moderates, but the lead is not statistically guaranteed. But if the trend is confirmed in future measurements, it is potentially devastating for the Moderates. Being second largest is crucial for the party's self-image and for the role of the Social Democrats' obvious main opponent. Also - using SD as a support party becomes much more difficult if SD is the larger party.

For the Liberals, things still look dark. Not since the election has the party been safely over the parliamentary block. The renewal that Nyamko Sabuni promised when she was running for party leader is still shrouded in obscurity, and the recent weeks' attempts to distance herself from government cooperation have also given no lift in opinion.