• Divorce in the EU: The six months lost by the closure of Ireland and the lack of courage of Theresa May
  • Brexit: This is how Boris Johnson's agreement affects the Spaniards in the United Kingdom and the British in the EU

Boris Johnson has threatened to push Brexit "to the braves" if Parliament rejects its agreement with Brussels in the vote scheduled for today. The 'premier' will open the debate in Westminster at 9.30 in the morning (10.30, in Spain) and will present two motions, one to support his agreement and another to approve the 'no deal' if the first were defeated.

The Labor Party and the rest of the opposition forces plan on their part to support a motion presented by Deputy Oliver Letwin, expelled from the Conservative Party, to postpone the vote of the agreement and try to force 'in extremis' an extension of the exit of the EU, initially scheduled for October 31.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel was the only European leader to anticipate that there will be an extension if the agreement is rejected. "I don't think there should be a new delay unless there are major changes," said French President Emmanuel Macron. "The 'Plan B' is the exit of the EU without an agreement," Irish Prime Minister Leo Varadkar concluded.

Johnson arrives in any case to the crucial appointment of Brexit with seven parliamentary defeats in his saddlebags and a race against the clock to try to reach the majority of 320 votes he needs. Johnson hopes to have the vote of his 288 deputies (including the hard-wing Eurosceptics known as the "Spartans"), with 17 of the 21 'rebel tories' expelled three weeks ago, with a dozen of the 19 proBrexit Labor and With five independents.

The conservative leader will have to play a three-sided pool game to overcome the bar, although analysts predict a very tight vote that could lean at one end or the other at the last moment, given the foreseeable breakdown of party discipline.

The 10 deputies of the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) confirmed on Friday that they will vote against the Johnson agreement on the grounds that it endangers "the economic and constitutional integrity of the United Kingdom" by creating an internal border in the Irish Sea. The alliance of "support and supply" that the conservatives had with the unionists has once again jumped into the air, as happened to Theresa May, and has greatly complicated Johnson's options, which at least had a DUP abstention.

Labor Division

"The time has come to complete Brexit and I am confident," Johnson said in the hours before the vote, amid a frenzy of contacts and rumors of possible resignations in his government. Leading members of the hard wing, such as former leader Iain Duncan Smith, expressed their doubts about the agreement at the last minute and left Johnson's support on the eaves, which rekindled the possibility of a total break with the EU at the end of the transition period in 2020.

John McDonnell, Jeremy Corbyn's left hand for economic affairs, anticipated the vote against the Labor opposition on the grounds that the agreement does not protect environmental and workers' rights and opens the door to future trade barriers with the EU .

A group of 19 Labor, signatories of a letter to the EU showing their willingness to vote in favor of the agreement, could however break the party discipline and facilitate the approval of the agreement. Deputy John Mann said he had the support of nine Labor members for the Johnson agreement.

The divisions between Labor and the indecision of Corbyn himself have left the possibility of a vote, on Saturday, on the holding of a second referendum. Thousands of protesters will go to the last pro-European demonstration of People's Vote , which will break in Parliament early Saturday afternoon.

Divisions between opposition forces have come into view following the Twitter message of Scotland's independence leader and chief minister Nicola Sturgeon: "I have a real suspicion that the Labor would be happy to see how the agreement goes ahead. officially, but they will allow a few 'rebels' to give up the necessary votes. "

Labor activist Melanie Onn, who represents Grimsby's proBrexit constituency, announced her intention to vote in favor of the agreement. "We cannot let this opportunity slip through our fingers," he wrote in an article written with conservative Victoria Prentis. "It has come to move forward and return to the priorities of our voters."

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