The largest opposition group of the Liberal Conservative Citizens Coalition gets 27.4 percent and the left coalition Lewica 11.9 percent while the PSL / Kukiz'15 electoral coalition ends at 9.6 percent.
According to the first calculations of the private TV channel TVN24, PIS has a chance to win a majority in the sejm, as in the election 2015. According to the newspaper Wyborca's measurements, the opposition has received more votes in total. Due to the electoral system, the opposition still receives fewer seats in the sejm, according to the first calculations.
Voter turnout is believed to have increased from about 50 percent in 2015.
- Poland will continue to develop in a more authoritarian direction, predicts Polish scientist Peter Johnsson.
With Kaczynski at the helm, the government has faced harsh criticism from both the opposition in the country and from the EU. Poland has implemented a number of changes in the judicial system, including a reform that will increase political influence over the courts.
But the PIS has also implemented economic reforms that have benefited many voters. The government introduced an extensive child allowance in 2016, which was expanded this year. Many Poles consider themselves to have gotten better financially under Law and the rule of justice.
In the election movement, PIS has promised more investments. A bill on tax exemption for young people under 26 is announced this fall. The promises also include a thirteenth pension month and sharply increased minimum wages.