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Romanian Prime Minister Viorica Dancila attends a vote of no confidence in Parliament in Bucharest on October 10, 2019. Inquam Photos / George Calin via REUTERS

In Romania, the Viorica Dancila government was overthrown by a motion of no confidence. Weakened by the break-up of the coalition with their centrist ally, the social democrats found themselves isolated in parliament, released by the party of the Hungarian minority UDMR. One month into the first round of presidential elections, Romania is entering a new period of instability.

It is up to the center-right president to appoint a new prime minister. Klaus Iohannis, currently campaigning for his own re-election, supported the no-confidence motion to bring down this government, which he described as " failing ".

But if this outcome is an indisputable victory for the head of state, the future looks uncertain. His party, the main opposition party PNL, could form a minority government with the support of several others.

But between the "anti-system" of the USR, the centrists of the ALDE and a left-wing formation resulting from a split with the PSD, the interests and priorities are not always the same.

Predicted to lead the next cabinet, the leader of the Liberals, Ludovic Orban is also far from unanimous. However, the future Prime Minister will have to draft the draft budget 2020, a task complicated by the explosion of public spending.

The IMF has already warned of the risk of a slippage in the deficit, calling on Bucharest to abandon a doubling of pensions by 2022 as promised by the Social Democrats, a measure that would be very unpopular.

As for the Social Democrats, weakened by this motion of no confidence, they could have another setback on November 10. Their candidate, the current head of government, Viorica Dancila, could be removed from the presidential election in the first round.

See also: Romania: Resignation of the Minister of the Interior after the death of a teenager