Khamis Ben Brik-Tunisia

Despite unofficial results, Ennahda ranked first in Tunisia's parliamentary elections on Sunday, narrowly ahead of its rival, the Heart of Tunisia, but the lack of balanced seats and the rise of small, fragmented and contradictory parliamentary blocs will pose "difficulties" in weaving alliances within Parliament, according to observers.

Ennahda won 17.5% (40 seats out of 217), followed by the heart of Tunisia for its founder, businessman and owner of Nessma TV, Nabil Karoui, who was arrested in a money laundering and tax evasion case with 15.6% (33 seats). Sigma Konsai Foundation for Sounding Opinions.

Despite the celebrations launched by his movement after the issuance of unofficial results, the spokesman for the Renaissance movement Imad Khamiri acknowledged the existence of difficulties in the composition of the new parliament, stressing to Al Jazeera Net that the formation of the next parliament of dispersed parliamentary blocs and various references "poses great challenges to the formation of the next government."

The Free Constitutional Party came third with the former ruling party of former President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali (6.8%), followed by the "Dignity Coalition" led by lawyer Seif Eddine Makhlouf, who is affiliated with the Revolutionary Forces (6.1%), while the "Democratic Current" Fifth by 5.1%.

Prime Minister Yusuf al-Shahid's party, Taya Tounes, ranked seventh with 4.7%, after the Arab-oriented People's Movement. The Nidaa Tounes party, which came first in the last elections in 2014, retreated to 10th place by 2%. While the leftist Popular Front disappeared.

Renaissance allies
Khamiri says that it is premature to talk about the scenarios of the formation of the new government only after the election commission announced the final results in order to know the number of seats of parties and lists winning the elections, stressing that his party will proceed after the announcement of official results in conducting the necessary consultations to provide a parliamentary belt for the government.

Regarding the political parties that are expected to form an alliance with him to form a government, Khamiri asserts that Ennahdha will hold negotiations with the components of the next parliament, which will converge with them to agree on a clear government program to manage the next phase "in order to achieve the goals of the revolution and the demands of Tunisians in employment, development and fighting corruption."

Lawyer Saif al-Din Makhlouf, leader of the Dignity Coalition demanding the nationalization of natural resources, did not rule out the possibility of his alliance with the Ennahda bloc, but the head of the Democratic Current Party, Mohamed Abbou, who joined the Ennahda-led troika in 2011 before resigning, announced his party's positioning in the opposition. Rejecting the alliance.

On the other hand, Khamiri says there is no room for consultations with parties implicated in financial corruption or parties that do not recognize the revolution and are still tied to the tyranny, referring to the "heart of Tunisia" and the anti-Islamic Free Constitutional Party.

In turn, the leader of the party "Heart of Tunisia" Samira Chaouachi told Al Jazeera Net that there is no way for her party to participate in any government alliance with Ennahdha, pointing out its failure to govern with other partners since the Constituent Assembly elections in 2011, which resulted in "disastrous results" on All economic, financial and social levels.

The leaders of the "heart of Tunisia" did not recognize the results of the sounding of opinions, but in turn launched celebrations at the headquarters of their party declaring victory. Chaouachi says her party is still waiting for the results to be announced by the electoral commission to resolve its issue, stressing that her party refuses to ally with Ennahda "behind the imprisonment of its founder Nabil Karoui."

Karoui was arrested on August 23 on charges of money laundering and tax evasion as he prepared to campaign for the presidential election. The indictment department rejected demands for his release during the presidential elections, which will compete in the second round with university professor Qais Said next Sunday.

Early elections
On the reading of the results of the elections, says the analyst and expert in the elections, Abdel-Jawad Harazi that there is a major dilemma in the formation of the next government in view of the dispersion of parliamentary blocs and the difference of reference, pointing out that there is a real difficulty facing the Ennahda movement in providing a quorum to give confidence to the government at least 109 deputies.

Harrazi said that even if Ennahdha weaves alliances with parties and lists that agree with it, such as the Coalition of Dignity, Long Live Tunisia, the Democratic Current and the People's Movement, it will not be able to provide a comfortable political belt to ensure the stability of the government, because it does not Has close seats with the nearby parties in Parliament. The number of Ennahdha seats fell compared to the previous parliament (69 seats).

He also did not rule out the possibility of going to early elections in March if the formation of the new government is hampered by the difficulties posed to Ennahdha in this fragmented parliament, expecting the country to live a fragile political situation due to the absence of strong parliamentary blocs allied among themselves.

But the media and political analyst Ziad Al-Hani says in an interview with Al-Jazeera Net that the features of the formation of the next government will become clearer with the exposure of the features of the bloc of independents and their orientation (about 40 deputies), pointing out that their weight within the parliament is heavy and influential, and can be determined in drawing the balance of the next political scene And the composition of the next government.

Al-Hani did not rule out the formation of a new government headed by Ennahdha in alliance with the Coalition of Dignity, the Democratic Current, the People's Movement, long live Tunisia and other independent lists, noting that Ennahdha President Rashid Ghannouchi is talking about partnerships to form a government for a political belt. "On the basis of partnership and equality."

Following the ratification of the new constitution in 2014, Tunisia's system of government took a parliamentary approach, with Chapter 89 mandating the party or coalition that won most seats in parliament to form a government within one month of the announcement of final results.

If the winning party's consultations do not produce any result, the President of the Republic will hold consultations with the parties and parliamentary blocs within ten days to appoint a new head of government to oversee the formation of a government within one month. After four months without the approval of the elected parliament to form a new government, the President of the Republic will dissolve parliament and call for early legislative elections in a period of not less than 45 days and not exceeding 90 days.