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After the Aramco attacks .. the key to calm the hands of Riyadh


عبدالله العمادي Free Membership

Aramco's attacks, which some resemble the attacks of September 11, 2001, in terms of their psychological, economic as well as political effects, are seen by some observers as a very brief message that the option of war against Tehran is not wise and logic, which Riyadh can put on the list of options to deal with the event, what can The war would bring much more than if it were quietly dealt with and invested strategically correctly.

What is not disputed by many interested in Saudi affairs, that these attacks are only the result of the way the leadership of the new leaders of the Kingdom. In the sense that the attack in this way was not in the implementation of any regional state or other, considering the past several years and the Kingdom's oil in security and safety, despite several wars around it, starting with the eight-year war between Iraq and Iran (1980-1988) and the liberation of Kuwait (1991 Most recently, the fall of Baghdad at the hands of America (2003), despite the role played by Saudi Arabia in the last three wars.

Aramco's attacks, according to observers, are a natural consequence of a disastrous war that has turned into a catastrophe in Yemen, or is one of the consequences of this war, or a harsh reaction this time, unlike past reactions whose media voice has been noisier than its material effects. But recent attacks have hit the backbone of the economy or the backbone of life in the kingdom, in a harsh precedent never seen before.

The battle, announced by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman that he will move to the heart of Tehran, the world came to find it in the heart of the Saudi economy, and initially aroused a kind of concern among importers, considering the large quantities that were fueling the need of the world, which soon subsided after exciting tweets President Donald Trump - and the fires at Aramco's sites have not been extinguished - that the United States no longer needs Middle East oil, and is now the number one in the world in this area, but able to fill any shortage in the global need for this commodity.

Riyadh quickly realized that the US ally - or President Trump, to speak - is seriously questionable, and may not play the role that she and the UAE had hoped for by entering a full-scale war on their behalf with Iran. . Money for protection, or so Trump said.

But protection does not mean war. This was evident to US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, when he stated that his country's mission with regard to Iran was to avert a war, as confirmed by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who also said the United States had no intention of fighting a new Middle East war on behalf of the United States. On Saudi Arabia, which prompted the foreign minister of the Kingdom, Adel al-Jubeir to be in harmony with his American counterpart, and declares that "no one wants war", but his country "wants a good relationship with Iran, and we want to trade with them."

Deterrent reinforcements
The additional US troops to be sent to the Gulf region are, according to Pompeo, a "deterrent and defense", raising many questions from the Guardian about the kingdom's need for help, the world's biggest arms importer from 2014 to 2014. According to a report by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, Saudi arms deals at the end of 2018 accounted for about 12% of global arms purchases.

In light of all these facts, the Kingdom does not live in the luxury of abundance of solutions. Observers believe that it may push Riyadh towards an inevitable path by sitting with the people of Yemen, arranging an end to the war away from those who benefit from its continued involvement in this country, and starting a serious dialogue with Tehran and resolving many of the outstanding problems and crises between them.

These steps are considered by many followers of the situation in the region as the key to solving the majority of crises in it, considering that the conditions that have not borne much militarization and opening fronts here and there, and that the key to calm the hands of Riyadh, which must proceed according to the logic that there is no permanent friend in politics or A permanent enemy, but a permanent interest.

Will Riyadh use that key? If yes, when and how?

Source: aljazeera

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