Last July, Boris Johnson officially took over the post of British Prime Minister to succeed Teresa Mae after accepting Queen Elizabeth's call for a new government. Johnson was able to garner support for 92,153 thousand Conservative members, against 46,656 votes won by his opponent. Jeremy Hunt. As soon as he took office, Johnson had to lead Britain in the face of many challenges and problematic issues, which are expected to shape much of Britain's internal and external future.
File management «Brix»
The issue of Britain's exit from the European Union was the rock that the presidency of Theresa May broke into its cabinet, where it was forced to resign after failing to reach a good agreement satisfactory to all parties in its own country and in Brussels. It is therefore natural for this issue to dominate the attention of most British political forces and to be a decisive factor in their political choices. Johnson's position on the BRICEST case was crucial to his success, and Johnson was careful minutes after announcing that the British prime minister would confirm that the BRIC would be carried out on time, October 31.
In this context, Johnson faces a dilemma because the European Union accepts the agreement that Teresa May provided in the past, which allows the UK to come out on the condition of preserving the interests of European nationals in the country, as well as commitment to some items of the former European bloc, which would deprive Britain of free trade with The United States, while rejected by the House of Commons, considering that it harms Britain.
Johnson is adopting a tough approach on the BRICT issue, considering that the Teresa Mae plan is "unacceptable" and calling on the EU to conduct new negotiations, particularly with regard to the removal of the Irish "safety net" With the European Union, pending a final solution to the border crisis between Ireland and Northern Ireland. In the event of an exit without an agreement, Johnson threatened not to pay the £ 39 billion exit bill, adding that he would instead spend money on preparations to exit without an agreement. Johnson believes that the threat of exit without an EU agreement will force Brussels to comply and give London better terms that would allow it to enter into trade agreements with world powers such as China and the United States. Johnson's team includes, of course, a number of hardliners who support his plan to get Britain out of the European Union on schedule, and even doubt European unity, such as Dominique Rap, who took over the Foreign Office, and Jacob Reese-Moj, who is in charge of relations with parliament.
On the other hand, the economic implications of the BRICT issue are a difficult challenge for Johnson, as the British currency is in a state of instability, which has led the pound to fall by about 2.5% since the beginning of this year. House prices in London fell the most in 10 years in May Last year, by 4.4%.
Johnson's comments are fueling investors' concerns, and sometimes he supports the bricast without a deal, and then backs off the comments, giving investors mixed signals about the future of exit from the EU. On the one hand, Johnson stresses that his strategy for the BRICEST is to use the threat of its implementation without an agreement to persuade the European Union to delete the issue of the dialectical Irish border from the withdrawal agreement negotiated by Mai.
On the other hand, Johnson states that the chances of Britain leaving the EU without an agreement are "one to one million." This uncertainty leads to a sharp fluctuation in the pound sterling amid concerns over Britain's exit from the EU. There are also warnings that Britain's exit from the EU without an agreement will push the unemployment rate to more than 5%, leading to house prices falling by about 10%, and eventually Britain will plunge into recession, according to some analysts.
Settlement of migrants
The issue of immigration and refugee issues is a major area of concern in European countries in general, and Johnson is expected to have clear fingerprints in this context, especially since he has a proposal to regulate the situation of illegal immigrants, which he presented when he was mayor of London. The proposal calls for the regulation of migrants' status in an illegal situation, rejecting the idea of deporting them abroad, while calling for measures to limit the illegal entry of illegal immigrants into the UK to avoid a "backlash". In other words, Johnson's policy is to "show more firmness" toward immigrants trying to enter the country illegally, but to be "more sympathetic to those who already exist."
Johnson is therefore expected to step up immigration controls after Britain leaves the EU and introduce a point-based migration system, like Australia. This type of regulation generally permits the entry of migrants who meet certain criteria, such as qualifications, occupation and language.
Relations with major powers
Despite the strategic alliance between London and Washington, many question marks have been raised over the past few days about differences of interest and visions between the two countries on issues such as climate change, the Iranian file and others. Observers believe that Johnson may have a clear impact in bridging the gap between the two countries during his tenure as Prime Minister of Britain, especially as Johnson brags his friendship with US President Donald Trump so much that skeptics fear that Britain would be hostage to Trump's foreign policies can not be predicted, Other analyzes suggest that the distinctive relationship between Trump and Johnson could boost Britain's chances of concluding a trade deal with the United States after Brickest, as President Trump had hinted during his recent visit to London.
In the same vein, some appreciate the importance of Trump's repeated remarks that Boris Johnson will be a very good prime minister. Johnson may also use Trump's admiration and offer steps to appease Trump to overcome the diplomatic crisis between the two sides, especially after the leaks of London's ambassador to Washington, Kim Druck. "The Trump administration suffers a serious imbalance and is divided under Trump's leadership," he said.
On the other hand, many fear that Britain's relations with Russia will increase tension because of the presence of Johnson at the head of the decision makers of British foreign policy, especially as the relationship between the two sides experienced tensions during the work of Johnson as foreign minister of his country, Vladimir Putin was staying in Britain with nerve gas. The British government said that it was a gas developed in Russia, called Novovic. London then expelled 23 diplomats from the Russian embassy, imposed tougher controls on Russians traveling on private aircraft, as well as tougher inspections, and national intelligence agencies stepped up investigations into Russian money coming into the country.
Relations between the two sides continued to be strained in the aftermath of the incident, even though Johnson likened Putin to Nazi leader Adolf Hitler. Russia's hosting of the 2018 World Cup was a similar event to the 1936 Olympics in Nazi Germany. Analysts, therefore, expect London to continue its aggressive approach to Moscow under the Johnson government, which sees Russia as the main source of the external threat to peace and stability in Europe.
The Iranian file
The most pressing challenge on the British prime minister's new agenda is to manage strained relations with Tehran, which has reached the limit with Iran's seizure of a British-flagged tanker in the Strait of Hormuz, prompting London to announce the imminent formation of a protection force in the Gulf with European partners.
This comes in addition to the growing tension between the United States (Britain's most important ally) and Iran since US President Donald Trump decided last year to withdraw from the nuclear deal, under which Iran agreed to restrict its nuclear program in exchange for easing economic sanctions. Despite Johnson's earlier assertions that the nuclear deal between Iran and the international quartet is a valuable agreement, London's policies toward the entire Iranian file may differ in the near future, especially after the Tehran oil tanker seizure. Donald Trump, stressing the need for the two countries to work together on this issue, which is expected to receive greater dialogue and consensus between the two sides during the meeting of the two leaders at the Group of Seven summit to be held in France in August.
In conclusion, it can be said that it is not possible to expect the reaction of the new British Prime Minister in dealing with the crisis in Iran, especially that he did not announce a clear plan to deal with Tehran, and it is not unlikely that London to coordinate with the European Union to establish a protection force in the Gulf, Which appears to contradict British efforts to get out of the European project.
Johnson faces a dilemma because the European Union accepts the former Teresa May Agreement, which allows the UK to come out on condition that the interests of European citizens in the country are preserved, as well as some of the provisions of the former European bloc.
Many fear that Britain's relations with Russia will see an upsurge in tension because Johnson is at the top of the British foreign policy makers, especially since the relationship between the two sides has been strained during Johnson's tenure as foreign minister.