The new military coup in Sudan .. Fact or Scarecrow?

Al Jazeera Net - Private

For the third time since announcing the bias of the revolution, the transitional military junta declares its frustration at a coup attempt, a declaration that activists in the Sudanese revolution consider as an excuse to shirk the implementation of the power transfer agreement for civilians.

While attention was focused on Khartoum to witness the signing of a power-sharing agreement between civilians and the military, the military junta announced its failure to try the third coup within two months, without naming the participants.

The military council did not announce the intention of these coups, nor did it publish any confirmation that it had submitted any of them to the investigation, let alone trial.

According to security expert Sulaiman Awad Fadl al-Sayyid, what he declared failure "can not be a coup, because the coup if it happens means the movement of military forces to seize power or one of the important command centers of the army."

In order for the coup to take place, there must be a political body behind the coup attempt, which is not even available to the Islamists under the current circumstances, as Mr. Sayyed preferred that the street "refuses to return Islamists to power."

This is why the security expert says that the National Congress - the former ruling party - does not imagine his involvement in assigning any coup attempt at the moment.

Different positions
For his part, said military expert of the island Net, and asked not to be named, that the coup is expected to happen "because as a violent act can eliminate the influence of Islamists within the state, which was unable by the Sudanese revolution forces."

It is also expected that the success of its leaders in the seizure of power "evidence of survival of the current military junta leaders in power, were before the revolution of the submerged."

"It is impossible to eliminate the fact that there are special adventurous soldiers in the Sudanese army," he said.

The news of the military coup was the result of sarcastic comments from some of the Sudanese revolution activists, who consider the announcement of the military council to fail the coup as the attention of the forces of change to the importance of the presence of the military with them within the new system, as they are able to provide protection.

In this context, the journalist and political analyst Mohammed Asbat describes the council's announcement of foiling the coup attempt as "a poor propaganda act aimed at stirring up dust in the political scene."

In his view, there is no justification for the coup at this stage, "because the coup can not be implemented other than the Islamists."

Since the Islamists "still control the scene and run the country behind the curtain is the military council," he does not expect their coup on the authority is in their hands, he said.

"It is not important whether the coup was a reality or not, but what is important is the message that the military council wanted to broadcast through that declaration at a critical moment, and in difficult days of negotiations between it and the forces of Change".

Through this declaration, the military council wants to use the story of the coup as a tactic of intimidation to soften the position of the forces of freedom and change in terms of the powers of the sovereign council.

What makes the leaders of the Council keen on obtaining a majority within the Council of sovereignty - says Hussein - is "fear of being subjected to trials in the most brutal massacre known in the history of the Sudan old and modern, is the massacre of the army sit-in sit-in at the end of last Ramadan."

Protection of revolution
For his part, questioned the journalist Mohamed al-Aqra in the incident of the coup, saying the statement by the Council "a fabrication because the Sudanese street is not prepared to support any military coup."

"The council's repeated talk about the failure of three military coups in a short time is intended to send messages to the international community and to the forces of change that the military junta can protect the revolution," al-Aqra said.

The activist in civil society, Dr. Nasr al-Din Shalqami, ruled out a coup in Sudan in the current situation "because there is institutional rejection of the idea of ​​a military coup at home and abroad."

For Sudan to avoid coups in the future, from Shlakami's point of view, the revolutionary forces must "put in place a strict law to punish anyone who undermines the democratic system."

"There is no need for a coup, if the Islamists are represented in the shadow battalions and the Janjawid forces are the ones who rule now and who will share power in the future with the forces of change," said political activist Abdelhamid Moussa in his statement to Al Jazeera Net.

The Council's statement refutes its frustration with many coup attempts by saying that the statements made by the council's leaders in this regard "are proof of their ambition to remain in power by promoting rumors of their ability to stave off security risks to the new regime."