The agenda for President Trump's second presidential term began to emerge 18 months before the 2020 election. Migration and economy will be at the core, just as in the 2016 race. But trade and deregulation issues will also exist; Obama Care »with some legislation that has not yet been identified. It's a very early stage where we start putting a platform on for a second time. But the president's supporters say the wheel is justified. The democratic nomination process, which includes a large number of competitors, consumes a lot of oxygen in the media.

"You have to broadcast these things now," said a senior White House official during President George W. Bush's term, Brad Blackman, a strong supporter of Trump. "Democrats are taking all this space because there are so many of them. We have to present all our plans early, otherwise the Democrats will take over the scene. "

Trump unveiled his new immigration plan at the White House last week. It focuses on a commitment to move from the green card system, which is based primarily on family relationships, to a system based on education and job skills. The president acknowledged that his proposal had little chance of being approved into law in the current Congress, where Democrats control the House of Representatives. Congresswoman Nancy Pelosi described the proposal as "dead on arrival."

But Trump has confirmed the possibility that his supporters would see the plan pay off if they re-elected; and put the Republicans back in control of a unified government by 2020. "For some reason - maybe a politician - we can not ask the Democrats to agree to a tight security plan based on the wall, . "We will get approval immediately after the elections, when we restore the House of Representatives, and we retain the Senate, and of course we maintain the presidency."

A serious effort

For some, the plan looked like a serious attempt at legislation, similar to the first shot in the 2020 War of Letters, aimed at portraying Democrats as a "handicap" and giving the Republicans a relatively controversial plan to get around. However, their acceptance into Republican circles comes at a price, lacking details about the thorny parts of the immigration issue. It does not address the fate of millions of people who are currently living in the United States without permission and does not offer any solution to those who applied the "Deferred Decision on Children Arrivals", an Obama-era program designed to protect child migrants, which ended during the Trump era. But the president's position on health care is more ambiguous, but he promises something.

In March, the administration caused a shock to Congress, when the Department of Justice announced that it supported the complete abolition of the Affordable Care Act. Trump pointed at some point that Republicans could find a solution during the current Congressional mandate; despite the fact that such a solution has become elusive, within nine years since President Obama signed the original law. Trump then sought to extricate himself from entanglement by promising Twitter that the Republican Party was "developing a truly wonderful health plan and that the vote would take place immediately after the election."

There is no serious proposal at this stage. There are other problems where it is easier for the administration to be clear. Trump proposed trillions of dollars in infrastructure spending. Democrats have a similar common goal; Trump held a positive meeting with Pelosi and Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer on the subject late last month, but negotiations could collapse over how to raise funds. Another tripartite meeting is tentatively scheduled for soon.

Infrastructure

If the issue of infrastructure is not resolved during the term of Congress, it will obviously be added to the Trump 2020 agenda. Similarly, whether or not Congress approves an updated Trump version of the North American Free Trade Agreement, which includes the United States, Mexico and Canada, Trade protectionism as a key part of his 2020 campaign.

"I think it will focus on the economy, immigration and trade," says Republican strategist Matt McCoykick.

Republican strategist Dan Judy, who has criticized Trump in the past, says that "focusing on cultural issues, including immigration, and an anti-elite agenda, including trade issues, helped the president win the first time." "I think he will continue all these things, and there will not be a lot of specific proposals, except hot issues like health care," he said.

But Jodi added that Al-Qaeda's first strategy could work "with a degree of approval in the 40 percent, that may be really the best performance for him." "If you are Donald Trump, a campaign to get more than 50 percent of the popular vote will probably not accomplish the job."

"Focusing on the strength of the economy will be central. The current unemployment rate of 3.6%, the lowest since 1969. GDP grew by 3.2%, during the first quarter of this year ». "In economic terms, our country is probably doing its best," Trump boasted at the White House last month.

An exaggerated claim

This was an exaggerated claim. Annual GDP growth was 2.9% last year, the same figure as in 2015. GDP growth or exceeded 4% several times in the 1990s, during President Clinton's term.

Even if the economy is Trump's strongest card, Democrats hope it will not be enough.

"He may be talking about great achievements, but he is facing big problems and he is trying to win a second term," said Jim Manley, a Democratic strategist. "The polls are still stagnant, and in the past questionnaires Trump has lost to most serious Democratic rivals.

But Blakman, Trump's ally, said there was an added advantage to unveiling the 2020 agenda at an early date. It significantly reduces the chances of any kind of serious competition, which is "the worst thing that could happen to a head of service, during the Republican National Convention, to be held in Charlotte August 2020".

Long before that, Blackman stressed that there are two elements that must be resolved, first of all, "immigration, health care," following "we must reform them, we have no choice."

Popular support

In last week's polls, Rasmussen reports:

- President Trump ended the week with 45% daily popular support.

- The Rasmussen Economic Report rose to 143.4 in May, up three points from last month, achieving the highest result this year.

- Reform of US infrastructure may be the only thing Trump and Democrats can agree on in Congress, but Americans are not nearly worried about the country's roads and bridges these days. They are still not too keen to pay for any reforms anyway.

- While Trump continues to fight China for its unfair trade practices, Americans are still worried, and many fear it will affect them personally.

- Voters are more critical of the congressional job, and most still believe lawmakers should work more with the president. They believe the president - not the Democratic congressional leader Nancy Pelosi - should set the agenda.

- Democrats, who run for the White House, face a major obstacle to President Trump's "thriving economy," but most of the party's dreamers rely on an economic downturn by next year.

- Voters still say that illegal immigration is the most pressing issue for Congress, but they still have little confidence in Trump's ability and Democrats in Congress to do anything.

- 42% of voters believe that the country is moving in the right direction.

• Trump focuses on a commitment to move from the green card system, which is based primarily on family relationships, to a system based on education and job skills.