What is the Indian escalation against Pakistan?

Zafar Islam Khan - New Delhi

As India's general election approaches, analysts say that if the elections were held in a normal atmosphere, the ruling People's Party of India (PPP) since 2014 would be defeated, as reflected in the results of legislative elections in several states in the past few months.

The government of Narendra Moody was exposed after failing to meet its big electoral promises five years ago. She did not eliminate the black money, did not bring Indian money deposited in foreign banks, did not improve agriculture and villages, created new jobs, It was terrible when large groups of Indian banks suddenly changed the Indian currency, and shortly thereafter the unified Central Taxation project was implemented, which confused the Indian economy and inflicted severe damage that it had not yet overcome.

Speculation that the ruling party, headed by Moody, would do something to distract voters, mix cards and polarize religious lines, such as a military attack on Pakistan under one pretext or another, or igniting major sectarian unrest.

The current prime minister has had experience in this regard. He has already allowed major sectarian unrest in 2002 against Muslims in Gujarat, which he ruled at the time, after reports that India's ruling People's Party of India would lose the election. The party benefited from the sharp polarization resulting from the unrest, and easily won the next election.

The attack on the convoy of soldiers in the Pulwama district of Kashmir, which killed 40 Indian soldiers on February 14, gave the ruling party the opportunity it was looking for, and immediately began hysterical demands by ruling party politicians and the media to retaliate against Pakistan and teach it a lesson not forgotten . The Prime Minister has declared that he has given full authority to the army to choose the response he prefers.

In this context, the Indian Air Force attacked targets in Pakistan in the early hours of February 26, when 12 Mirage 2000 aircraft raided the Balakot region of Pakistani Kashmir. According to her account, she dropped 1,000 kg For the Army of Muhammad and the Lashkar-e-Taiba,

Indian media - the vast majority of whom stand with the Indian government - have begun talking about a war attack and are publishing a video of the attack that later proved to be an old video unrelated to the new attack.

The official statement said that the Indian planes had killed 300 "terrorists" and grounded their positions. This was denied by Pakistan, saying that the Indian planes dumped their cargo in an uninhabited rocky area and inflicted only minor injuries on the villagers.

Global media correspondents, such as Reuters and The New York Times, after visiting the target area, confirmed that Indian planes had not hit anything and there were no "terrorist organizations" bases in the area. This gave opposition parties, especially the Congress Party, an opportunity to launch a campaign against the ruling party demanding evidence to prove the authenticity of the Indian novel.

The government has refused to give evidence to date, but has questioned the patriotism of those who demand it, saying such demands cast doubt on the capabilities of the Indian Air Force and are in India.

On the other hand, India took advantage of the situation, launched a campaign of large-scale arrests in Kashmir, including hundreds of political opponents, and banned the Islamic Group in Kashmir.

There is also talk of a plan to repeal two articles of the Indian Constitution giving Kashmir a special status and autonomy within the framework of the Indian Federation. This has raised even the pro-Indian Kashmiri parties, which have warned that the repeal of the articles of the Indian constitution will fuel the separatist war, and even abolish the Kashmir accession agreement to India in 1948.

Review reply
Pakistan, in view of the local popular pressure, was forced to respond to the Indian attack. Its aircraft penetrated Indian airspace and dropped some bombs in India the next day. However, it confirmed that it had not targeted any military or civilian target. Show India that it is able to reciprocate.

Indian aircraft intercepted Pakistani aircraft, and during the chase entered Pakistani airspace. Pakistan is said to have hijacked Indian aircraft and an Indian military MiG-21 was shot down and captured by its pilot.

But the crash and the Indian pilot's capture revealed that any military adventure would have a price, and that war would not be a picnic.

Even small clashes have closed airports in Kashmir and northern India for several days, and hundreds of flights to and from Delhi airport have been canceled.

And here Indian hysteria subsided and returned to the screens and headlines of Indian newspapers. The response was further advanced by Pakistani Prime Minister Amran Khan when he announced the next day that his country would return the pilot to India for peace. The pilot was indeed flown back to India that evening. In this way, Khan won the tour and gained world-wide support for his peaceful gesture, which extinguished the flames of war.

Indian Prime Minister Moody is still saying that "what happened was just a thrill and the real response is coming," but analysts say Pakistan's downing of the Indian plane and then being returned by the captured Indian pilot Have withdrawn the cards from the hands of the Indian government, and do not seem to be able to invest the terrorist attack in Kashmir to wage war on Pakistan in order to benefit from them in the next elections.