Mohammed bin Salman and Dima Khashoggi .. Is it a lifeline?

Amine strand

After the disappearance of journalist Jamal Khashoggi on the second of this month, the eyes of the world turned towards Riyadh, and finger-pointing towards Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. As the ghastly slaughter of the Prince's "reckless" circle approaches, the kingdom finds itself interested in doing everything possible to save itself and its crown prince from the charge of cross-border killing.

The crisis of the disappearance or assassination of Khashoggi appears to be a double crisis for Saudi Arabia. According to the French newspaper Le Monde, it represents a triple aggression: first because it killed a journalist; secondly, it was killed in a foreign land, and a third in a consulate should remain a safe place, In the case of all diplomatic representations.

Suspicious silence
With the first hours of the announcement of the disappearance of journalist Jamal Khashoggi - the loud voice in a closed kingdom, as described by the French newspaper La Croix - Saudi politicians and media entered into a long silence that lasted long, the head of Saudi diplomacy Khalid Al-Jubeir, and all the interests of the Saudi Foreign Ministry in silence, Refers to the authorities of Saudi Arabia, and that the location of the crime and its victim was a Saudi consulate, flanked by the green flag mowed by the word certificate and sword.

The only news that broke the silence was what the Saudi Press Agency reported on the authorities' return to Interpol, without revealing his identity.

Denial and threat
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman said in an interview with the Bloomberg news network on October 5 that Khashoggi had left the consulate in minutes or an hour. "We are ready to welcome the Turkish government to enter and inspect the consulate, , An area under the sovereignty of Saudi Arabia.

The next day, the Saudi consulate in Istanbul opened its headquarters to Reuters, in an effort to explain that Saudi writer Jamal Khashoggi, who disappeared five days ago, is not inside. The consul's apartment was in the six-story building, including the garage chapel, offices, visa windows, kitchens, latrines, storage and security rooms, file cabinets and wood panels covering air conditioning units.

In the absence of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, which is supposed to be the first to answer the questions related to this file, the Saudi Interior Minister issued a statement to carry out a denial and defiance of all the charges against Riyadh against the accusations of newspapers all over the world, after Riyadh became the target of all charges Hudab and Sub, without giving the world any convincing account of her fellow citizen who entered her consulate and no longer.

Riyadh later threatened that it would aggressively and resolutely confront anyone trying to tarnish its image and undermine its stability and leadership. According to Turkish officials, it "delayed" the inspection of its consulate and the home of its consul in Istanbul.

In the face of global pressure, e-flies in Saudi Arabia have returned to their old habit of attacking Qatar and the Muslim Brotherhood. Soma has spoken of such conspiracies to discredit the kingdom, which in turn is known for global peace and resistance to terrorism. And what happened to him? I stayed stuck waiting for an answer from Riyadh.

Exploitation of the cowardly family
Khashoggi's family was one of the lifelines Riyadh tried to cling to, amid accusations from around the world. Saudi media interviewed some members of the family, including his eldest son, Salah Jamal Khashoggi, who denounced - Politicized the issue of his father's disappearance, and considered it totally unacceptable.

"All the Saudi dissidents were not harmed by them, and they were not harmed by any of them, even when they were outside the country," said Alaa Nassif, an Arab, who implicitly denies Saudi Arabia's responsibility for her former husband's death. Beauty, unharmed by them, and many witnesses. "

The waiver began
With the intensification of international pressure, it seems that the Kingdom is recovering some of the calm and slow rotation and familiarity of its diplomacy before entering the era of political storms and wars with the rise of Mohammed bin Salman political.

The waiver took two tracks: one by admitting Turkish demands to inspect the consulate and the consul's house after a long hesitation - according to Turkish sources - a search which, according to Turkish leaks, revealed evidence of investigations into Khashoggi's death. It also expressed its gratitude to the Turks very much for accepting the formation of a joint working group on the Khashoggi case.

On the other side, many American circles - primarily the media - have begun to tighten the screws on the Saudi authorities. As a result, Riyadh has committed to investigate an investigation by US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo - according to US media - to be swift and transparent, His fate is at stake.

Before Bombay's visit to Riyadh, US media reported that Saudi Arabia was going to recognize Khashoggi's death, especially after President Trump gave birth to the story of "rogue killers" to cling to a system that breathed under the water of suffocating crises.

Although the scenario of "rogue murderers," which first appeared in Trump's remarks, and later reported by the US media as the most likely scenario for Saudi officials to emerge from this dilemma, has not convinced many, but the problem Saudi Arabia may face in adopting a scenario Is that the Saudi ambassador to the United States has already described this as impossible.

In an interview with journalist Fred Ryan in the Washington Post, he said it was "impossible" for consular officials to cover up such a crime, and we do not know. "

where did I go wrong?
Many analysts say that Saudi Arabia's abuse - regardless of the credibility of its accusations against Khashoggi - has been confused and suspicious in some of its details and aspects.

And failed to implement many rules dealing with political crises that allow countries to get out with less losses than similar crises.

The Saudi authorities may count on their ability - by virtue of their enormous financial potential - to break the consequences of any crisis they are experiencing, evoking the experience of arresting Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri, the Yemen war and the siege of Qatar, and how it managed to circumvent them without deterrent international sanctions.

But Krishnadiv Kalm mentioned in an article on the Atlantic site that he talked about the crisis of Khashoggi's disappearance with former US diplomats who dealt with a range of challenges while in service, and that "they told me that every diplomatic crisis is unique."

However, the author enumerates a series of clear steps to be taken when any crisis arises, including balance of relations, public image impact, and timely response. "

On this point, the writer of Wendy Sherman, Obama's deputy secretary of state for political affairs, says it is important not to allow crises to continue, "because you lose your full control over keeping your narrative of events." In fact, the silence, hesitation and confusion of Saudi Arabia - without any other indicators and evidence - was enough to give the impression of the credibility of the other novel, as well as it took time to allow the stability of the mind and expand in the prospects.

However, the ambitious and ambitious calculations of the prince did not agree with the right to assess the consequences of many of his actions and to assess the level of the impact of the accumulations of political shocks that surprise world public opinion from time to time. The Khashoggi case may also fall within these shocks if his team is found responsible for his murder.

"If the Saudis have already killed Khashoggi and believe they can escape the crime, they have made a serious mistake," said Christian Ulrichsen, a fellow of Middle East studies at the Baker Institute for Public Policy at Rice University. He was only a contributing columnist in the influential Washington Post - who was pushing for accountability - Khashoggi was known in Congress as a leading Saudi reformer.

For decades, Saudi Arabia has been a confusing partner for the United States, but the relationship was strong enough to withstand the severe repercussions of the events of September 11, 2001. This time, good intentions may run out as politicians and businessmen turn to Mohammed bin Salman, Those that took place with Saif al-Islam Gaddafi, another young leader was waiting for the West to lead reforms in his country.

He concludes that it is ironically ironic that Khashoggi may have been in his disappearance, and his probable death, has done the necessary work to make Washington see the disturbing reality of the kingdom of Muhammad ibn Salman more than he could have done alive and in his writings.