May will not be the winner in the BRICEST agreement

Teresa May remains in office, but does not necessarily have real power, while opposition leader Labor Party leader Jeremy Corbin seems reluctant to control the issue of Britain's exit from the European Union (BRICC) himself.

The British government, headed by Teresa Mae, saw the night of Tuesday, a defeat of its agreement with the European Union by 230 votes, an unprecedented defeat in British political history. Corbin called the May government a "semi-dead government" that had "completely lost control and was no longer able to govern" and called on the House of Commons to reject it.

After her government survived a no-confidence vote on Wednesday, May announced that it would extend its hand to important opposition figures to mediate a compromise on the EU agreement. But the overwhelming result of the vote last Tuesday of supporters and opponents of the BRICEST makes it difficult to imagine the form of May's alternative, which could unify the two bitter divisions of its conservative party. The EU seems to be very willing to renegotiate.

Initiative in the hands of Corbin

The initiative is now in the hands of Mr Corbin, who wants to hold a general election and said at the Labor Party conference last year that all options are on the table, including another referendum. Labor lawmakers who favor a second referendum argue that opinion polls show that the majority of Britons who voted for the Labor Party in the 2017 elections support the re-election of the 2016 referendum.

A senior aide to former Prime Minister Tony Blair said Corbin has always been skeptical of the EU, believing the EU is a global organization that stands by global leaders and capital. "If Britain leaves the EU, Corbin and his deputy, John McDonald," believe that it would be easier for them to pass some of their policies, such as pro-worker reforms, and the nationalization of the industry. But this left-wing policy is not shared by most of Corbin's colleagues in parliament. "

The pro-Labor press urged Corbin to move to Plan B and support another referendum. "It's Labor Day," said columnist Pauli Toenbee on Tuesday. Regardless of Corbin's views, he has to listen to his party. "

Apart from the people's vote campaign on the BRICEST agreement, the leadership of the Labor Party reached clarity on two main points. First, Corbin formally committed his party to opposing the EU exit without an agreement. The second obligation of the Labor Party includes the postponement of paragraph 50 of the article governing the departure of member states from the Union in the European Constitution. May should ask the EU to give it time to reach a consensus, MacDonald told BBC radio on Wednesday. "We are clear," insists the conservative minister and close ally of Mai Andrea Ledesum. There will be no postponement of paragraph 50 and we will not cancel it. "

Corbin could face a rebellion by parliamentarians in his party, where a group of labor parliamentarians told British journalists they wanted a parliamentary vote to hold a second referendum in defiance of the Labor leadership. The House of Commons leader, John Baker, helped facilitate such a rebellion.

Shadow Minister Brekst Kerr Starmer is the key figure in the battle for a second Labor referendum. At last year's party conference, Starmer was warmly welcomed when he publicly supported a second referendum on Precast. So far, Starmer has officially supported the mysterious Corbin line on the people's vote on the BRICAST agreement with the EU, but a former Starmer colleague said he was "thinking of competing with Corbin and defying the idea of ​​this popular vote, as well as challenging the party leadership itself."

At the same time, Corbin and his top aides point out that they can continue to make no-confidence motions in an attempt to curtail May's authority. This strategy, if successful, could make them win the general election, which remains the main strategic objective of the Labor Party.

For its part, May insists it is determined to press for its agreement with the European Union through parliament. And promised that it would begin negotiations immediately with its opponents in its party and opposition parties to reach an agreement that could get the support of the House of Commons. She assured MPs she was ready to hear any ideas that could be discussed with Brussels.

Until Monday, May has been returning to the House of Commons with new proposals, which could be modified by various rebel groups, including supporters of a new referendum. What does not seem to be on the table is a breakthrough in the May-Brussels negotiations. This will not happen if May does not change its red lines, such as ending the free movement of goods and people to Britain and repealing EU law. "If the United Kingdom chooses to change its red lines in the future, the European Union is ready to deal with the possibility that the United Kingdom will continue to be close to the European Union," EU chief negotiator Michael Barnier told reporters on Wednesday. With her in a friendly way. "

Owen Matthews, a former reporter for Newsweek in Moscow

Ideas doomed to failure

The fate of most of the constructive ideas that Theresa May will hear in the next few days will be the failure in the face of the hard bargaining position of the European Union. First and foremost, accession to the European Customs Union includes freedom of movement of goods and people, which is hated and rejected by the Conservative Party, which opposes the rights of migrants.

In the end, Berkst's terms will not be dictated by the British Parliament but Brussels. For all the proponents of Britain's winning exit from this deal, the EU will have the power to veto any new deal May may succeed in tinkering with.

Corbin could face a rebellion by parliamentarians in his party, where a group of labor parliamentarians told British journalists they wanted a parliamentary vote on a second referendum in defiance of the Labor leadership.