Researcher Michel Aiyari said in an interview with France's Le Journal Afrique that countries in the Gulf, such as the UAE and Saudi Arabia, were not comfortable with the faint Tunisian consensus that includes the Muslim Brotherhood.

Aiari - a senior analyst in the International Crisis Group who has a deep knowledge of the Tunisian regime - told the magazine's correspondent Benoa Delmas, that the situation in Tunisia has developed since the revolution.

The researcher talks about the transformation that accompanied the "Arab Spring", pointing out that Tunisia before the revolution had an authoritarian system inherited from the national liberation movement, and that there were some semi-secret parties and a very weak civil society, except for the system-based society.

He added that while all analysts were wondering how long the authoritarian regime was, they were far from imagining this transformation, despite signs of warning about economic and social issues and the security issue.

Tunisia remains the only survivor of the Arab Spring (Anatolia)

Increasing conflict
The researcher pointed out that there was a growing conflict between the then ruling Constitutional Rally Party and the Tunisian General Union of Labor, and the explosion of the social issue in the province of Gafsa in 2008 in the basin of mining, so that the cup burst two years later by the death of Mohamed Bouazizi on 17 December 2010 to break out revolution.

"The events of the revolution were unprecedented, and each side tried to interpret it from its own ideology. Some saw it as a real revolution in a romantic way with the oppressed people of the country's interior.

Some Islamists saw it as a divine sign of the end of tyranny, and others saw it as a semi-socialist revolution, while others saw it as a normalization of order with globalization.

He says that when Tunisian President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali left the country there was a struggle to define what happened, but what remains in mind is that it is a democratic revolution similar to the fall of the Berlin Wall and the Soviet Union.

Grant and Obstacle
My model points out that Tunisia is moving towards a democratic political system with economic growth driven by liberalism, and that Tunisia is ready for this, because the Ben Ali regime was the obstacle.

He added that specialists saw during the transition period that Tunisia was ready for this transformation, that it had enough graduates of higher education, and that it had made great strides in the field of women's rights and democratic transformation. Consequently, it was only a matter of Ben Ali's departure to begin the reforms and turn the situation into something similar South Korea.

However, the researcher is aware that this perception is what brought the disappointments, because things did not happen this way.

He added that Tunisia was the only survivor of the Arab Spring, where the country was spared the real political violence, noting that there were moments of tension and political assassinations and sleep of the extremist jihadist movement, but there was no civil war and no settlement of accounts, despite the war in Libya.

Toast and agreement
The researcher believes that the ability of political elites to reach an agreement is a positive thing, referring to the national dialogue that took place in 2013, which is considered an original experience prevented conflicts in the country.

My character points to the failure of the democratic movement in the country and the start of what he called the spring of the UAE, where the country has not experienced economic growth and social justice after the Arab Spring.

The people of Tunisia feel deeply that they have not received anything from this transformation and are therefore more willing to return to a more solid system, even if they are the first victims, hoping for a state of justice, even with continued corruption, objective management, rationality and equal opportunities, Which may make them accept a dictatorship.

"The problem is that there is no political force with a real program, strategy or vision, not even the government," he says. "What Tunisia lacks is not the ideas, but the ability to achieve them.

Save the country
In my view, democracy has become the word "dirty" between elites and part of the population, and with the call to "save the country", members of the former regime, who were on the black list of corruption, returned until 2014.

My view is that all the challenges since 2011 have accumulated on Tunisia, and that every time they are partially solved, and therefore not an absolute solution, the result is that all the negative effects accumulate simultaneously to be a blast.

The researcher summarizes the obstacles that prevent the establishment of the republican ideals in that they belong to the nature of the state and the way in which it was established, pointing out that it always tries to impose itself by force.