According to a media report, the former constitutional protection president Hans-Georg Maaßen will be involved with the CDU in the upcoming election campaigns in East Germany. The news magazine "Focus" reports, citing informed circles, that concerts in Saxony and Brandenburg are planned for the summer. There, regional elections will take place on 1 September.
Maaßen will also perform on the weekend after next on the joint invitation of regional associations of the Junge Union and the value union in Coburg, writes the "Focus". Maaßen had joined the Values Union in February, a coalition of conservative Union politicians.
Maaßen was criticized in the past year for comments on the incidents in the summer in Chemnitz. Federal Interior Minister Horst Seehofer (CSU) initially stuck to the constitutional protection president. The grand coalition then agreed to transfer Maaßen to the Ministry of the Interior. Because of his farewell address to international intelligence chiefs, in which he spoke of "left-wing forces" in the SPD, he was finally transferred in early November in the temporary retirement.
Most recently Maaßen has settled in an interview of the Hungarian state television M1 with the migration policy of Chancellor Angela Merkel and the party colleague accused of considerable omissions. Although the number of asylum seekers or illegal immigrants arriving in Germany is significantly lower than in 2015, Maaßen said. "But the lock is still open, even if less comes in."
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How does the Civey method work?
The opinion research institute Civey works with a multi-level fully automated procedure. All representative real-time surveys are played in a Germany-wide network of more than 20,000 websites ("Riversampling"), so it is not only users of SPIEGEL ONLINE interviewed. Anyone can participate in the surveys online and will be included in the representative result with their answers if they have registered. From these users, Civey draws a quoted sample that ensures that it matches the population, for example, in terms of age, gender and population density. Finally, in a third step, the results are weighted by other attendees' socio-demographic factors and attitudes to correct distortions and prevent manipulation. More information can be found in the Civey FAQ.
Why is a registration necessary?
The registration helps to weigh the answers, thus allowing a result for the surveys, which is representative of the voting population in Germany. Each participant is asked for their gender, year of birth and place of residence. After that everyone can give their opinion in further surveys on different topics.
How do the results become representative?
The answer of each participant is weighted so that the result of a survey is representative of the population. For the Sunday question and the government monitor, this population comprises the population entitled to vote in Germany. The weighting is done fully automatically on the basis of the personal details at the registration as well as the history of previous answers of a user. More methodological details can be found in the Civey whitepaper.
Will you reach enough participants online?
Opinion polls are usually conducted by phone or online. The significance of the results depends on how many people can be reached and how many actually participate in a survey when they are approached. Internet connections and fixed-line connections are currently about equally widespread in Germany - with around 90 percent of households each, mobile phones even as high as 95 percent. The willingness to participate in all methods in the single-digit percentage range, especially experts estimate it for telephone surveys.
Thus, in both methods there is a group of people that can not be reached because they either have no connection to the respective network or do not want to participate in the survey. Therefore, a significant number of people must always be approached for a meaningful result. Civey surveys are currently in addition to SPIEGEL ONLINE in more than 20,000 other websites involved, including various media. This ensures that as many populations as possible can be reached.
How do I recognize the quality of a result?
Until the result of a survey becomes representative, enough different people have to participate. Whether this is already successful, makes Civey transparent, in that for each survey result a statistical error probability is specified. The number of participants and the interview time are also published for each survey.
What does it mean when the colored areas in the graphics overlap?
In our graphs, the statistical error is shown as a colored interval. This interval shows the uncertainty associated with a survey score. For example, on the Sunday question, one can not say exactly how many percent a party would get in a poll, but specify an interval in which the outcome is likely to be. If the intervals of two survey values overlap, then strictly speaking no statements about the difference can be made. For the Sunday question this means: If the poll numbers of two parties are so close together that overlap their error intervals, it can not be derived from which would currently perform better in the election.
What happens with my data?
The personal data of the users are stored encrypted on German servers and remain secret. Civey employees use only user IDs for reporting and can not associate users with their votes. The main purpose of the users' personal information is to weigh the answers and to ensure that the surveys are not manipulated. To prevent this, Civey uses both statistical and technical methods. In addition, Civey works with external partners who create audiences. Only when users have accepted the privacy policy of both Civey and an external partner, may your responses be used by the Partner to model those audiences. However, a partner does not receive information about your political and religious attitudes as well as those with which you can be identified. Civey users are also not ads based on their answers. You may object to the distribution to partners at any time here as a logged in user. More information about privacy at Civey can be found here.
Who is behind Civey?
At this point, readers in the app and on the mobile / stationary website have the opportunity to participate in a representative Civey survey. Civey is an online opinion research institute based in Berlin. The start-up cooperates with different partners, including SPIEGEL ONLINE as well as the "Tagesspiegel", "Cicero", the "Freitag" and Change.org. Civey is funded by the ProFit funding program of Investitionsbank Berlin and the European Regional Development Fund .