After the suspension of Nikki Haley's campaign, the American presidential election of November 2024 will, once again, pit Joe Biden against Donald Trump. A study shows, by anticipating, what American greenhouse gas emissions will be depending on the victory of one or the other.

If Trump wins, the objective of limiting warming to +1.5°C will be buried. A Trump presidency would send 4 billion tons more carbon dioxide into the atmosphere than a Biden presidency. This is the equivalent of the emissions of the European Union and Japan taken together.