Survey in twelve EU countries: Only a few Europeans still believe in a Ukrainian victory. In a survey a year ago, even more Europeans believed that Ukraine should recapture all of its lost territory.

The current shift in opinion is due to the Ukrainian military's stalled counteroffensive. Concerns about a change in US policy and the possible impact of Donald Trump's re-election on the war effort. If Trump wins the US election, it would make a Ukraine victory less likely - but a majority of respondents believe that if that happens, Europe should maintain or increase its support for Kiev.