Latest polls make the scenario of a defeat of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in the election more and more plausible. If the "reis" can still rest on a solid basis, it is also increasingly contested in a country hit by the economic crisis and bereaved by recent earthquakes.

It is the story of a monarch-like president, whose throne is seriously beginning to waver. For the time being, it's his rival Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu that the polls give victory with four points ahead.