The opposition party CHP has a real chance to take the place as the country's new leader. If the opposition wins, there is a high probability that Sweden's application will be approved before the meeting in Vilnius on July 11-12.
"The CHP is much more interested in actually reinforcing Turkey's Western identity," says Sinan Ülgen, a former Turkish diplomat. However, he emphasizes that even if Erdogan's government wins, he does not believe that Turkey wants to become the country that blocks Sweden's accession to NATO.