The US Stratfor site said that Israel is likely responsible for the explosion and fire that broke out at Iran's Natanz nuclear facility on July 2, and possibly other similar incidents that occurred near Tehran over the past two weeks, including the bombing of the Khojir missile complex on June 26. the past.
And the website affirms that although Tel Aviv does not explicitly declare its covert operations against Iran, history and motivation make it the most likely actor to carry out such "sabotage" operations against Iranian infrastructure and installations.
On July 5, an intelligence official - without revealing his name - revealed to The New York Times that Israel was responsible for placing the "powerful bomb" that was detonated in a centrifuge building at the Natanz facility.
The Washington Post and other media indicated that a "possible Israeli operation" was behind the attack on the Iranian facility.
Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz also answered - when asked about the recent Natanz incident - that Israel was not necessarily behind every attack on Iran, without explicitly denying Tel Aviv's involvement.
The site believes that the noticeable rise in Israeli sabotage operations towards Iran indicates that Tel Aviv is in the process of returning to a policy of unilateral action against Iran's nuclear and missile programs.
Israel has become frustrated by the failure of Western and regional countries to rein in Iran's military and nuclear capabilities, which Tel Aviv considers a direct threat to internal and regional security.
Unconventional tactics
Israel is also of the opinion that it has a favorable and limited space to act before January, when a "friendlier" US administration is expected to take over from the administration of incumbent President Donald Trump in the United States.
In return, the site believes that Iran is likely to use its preferred "unconventional" tactics, such as cyber war and proxy wars, in response to Israeli declared or covert operations, while continuing to develop its nuclear and missile programs.
And the gradual development of its nuclear capabilities remains one of Tehran's main means of responding to increased US sanctions and Israeli attacks that Tehran considers unjust attempts to contain.
The site concludes that continued Israeli sabotage and Iranian retaliatory reactions could deal a "final blow" to the remainder of Iran's nuclear agreement after Washington withdrew from it in May 2018.
Israel may also attempt to undermine the remaining international support for the agreement by provoking an Iranian response that reflects increased non-compliance, and a decline in political commitment by Tehran to the terms of the agreement.