This Sunday it applies to the German national soccer team at the World Cup.

Instead of playing into the tournament in the preliminary round, as in 2018, there is a risk of elimination early in the preliminary round.

After losing to Japan, Spain is waiting.

The game of the other two teams in the group of the team of national coach Hansi Flick is also exciting.

Depending on the result, the German chances increase or decrease.

Excitement is usually ensured, as the values ​​​​in the World Cup forecast by Daniel Memmert and Fabian Wunderlich show.

Tobias Rabe

Responsible editor for Sport Online.

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At the start of the day (11.00 a.m. CET in the FAZ live ticker for the soccer World Cup, on ZDF and on MagentaTV), the German view goes to the duel between Japan, which reached the round of 16 in 2018, and Costa Rica, which failed in the preliminary round at the time .

The roles are sometimes not as clear as in the world rankings (24th to 31st place) and sometimes quite clearly distributed, as in the market value (5.9 to 0.7 million euros).

The forecast, which is based on the current values ​​of the betting market, is unambiguous.

Accordingly, the Japanese will win the game with a probability of 66.6 percent.

That would put the Germans under a lot of pressure.

Then (2:00 p.m. CET in the FAZ live ticker for the World Cup, on ZDF and on MagentaTV) it’s on to Group F of this World Cup.

The differences between Belgium, who finished third four and a half years ago, and Morocco, who failed in the group stage, can be seen on all values.

In the world rankings, the Europeans are second, the Africans 22nd. In terms of market values, Belgium has on average more than double the value (21.7 to 9.7 million euros).

So it's not surprising that Kevin De Bruyne and Co. have a 48 percent chance of winning.

After that (2 p.m. CET in the FAZ live ticker for the soccer World Cup, on ZDF and on MagentaTV), the group opponents of the two teams will play.

Croatia, who only lost to France in the final in 2018, will meet Canada, which failed to qualify at the time.

There are also noticeable differences in the world rankings (12th to 41st place) and the market values ​​(14.5 to 7.2 million euros).

This is no different when predicting the probability of victory.

However, the 45.3 percent is not quite as clear as with other favorites and their games.

At the end of Sunday (8 p.m. CET in the FAZ live ticker for the soccer World Cup, on ZDF and on MagentaTV), it is the German team’s turn.

In 2018, both teams experienced a disappointment, the Spaniards in the round of 16, Joachim Löw’s eleven in the preliminary round.

In the world rankings (7th to 11th place) the difference is not big, in the market values ​​it is minimal (34.7 to 34.1 million euros).

Nevertheless, the Spaniards are slightly ahead in the forecast.

They win 41 percent, a German victory has a probability of 32.4 percent, a draw there is 26.5 percent.