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Analysis: The conservative high flyer Short as a model for the CDU?

2019-09-30T13:58:24.976Z

TIME ONLINE | News, backgrounds and debates



Vienna / Berlin (dpa) - After the clear election victory of the conservative ÖVP and its boss Sebastian Kurz in Austria was directly the question in the room, what the CDU in Germany can learn from it.

Friedrich Merz, the former challenger of Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer for the CDU presidency, set the pace. "It has once again shown itself: With a clear profile, a bourgeois party can again win majorities." With his congratulatory tweet to Kurz, he may have targeted CDU chief Kramp-Karrenbauer, but also, and perhaps more, on their Predecessor, Chancellor Angela Merkel.

Also CDU Vice Armin Laschet, who has repeatedly noted with pointed remarks to the address of the party leader, did not keep behind the mountain with advice. The CDU could certainly take an example of the election campaign of Kurz. "He had his subjects, he remained with his subjects, he did not scold the political opponent, but instead promoted his ideas." The North Rhine-Westphalian Prime Minister recognizes at short "clear ideas, short sentences and concise messages."

Short online was also very strong, admitted CDU Secretary General Paul Ziemiak and just on Monday before the Board a motion for the party conference in late November for better digital communication before. Ziemiak also praises the campaign strategy of Kurz and the ÖVP.

But quite simply, the success of Kurz should not be transferable to the Union in Germany, as Ziemiak says. Germany and Austria are neither comparable in size nor in the history of coalitions, says CDU vice-president Julia Klöckner.

Thus the high losses of the right-wing populist FPÖ have nothing to do with Kurz according to Laschet's assessment. The crash of the previous coalition partner of the ÖVP is primarily due to the Ibiza video and the recent expense affair of their ex-chairman Heinz-Christian Strache.

From the massive loss of votes of the FPÖ benefited according to data of the Institute Sora especially the ÖVP and short. First, he teamed with the right-wing populists, then he throws them out after the Ibiza affair and finally he benefits from it. Around 260,000 FPÖ voters emigrated to the Conservatives. 235,000 former FPÖ voters stayed away from the ballot box. In contrast to the short ÖVP, the CDU and the CSU are sharply differentiated from the right-wing populists of the AfD - and must therefore continue to live with a considerable protest electorate.

Even with the two current major topics in Germany - climate protection and migration - a simple breaking down is not possible. Germany sees itself as a pioneer in international climate protection. In addition, the government parties Union and SPD are in polls under massive pressure of survey high-altitude flights of the Greens. And the recently presented climate concept of the grand coalition is likely to cost consumers a lot.

Briefly, Austrians signaled that climate protection is important, but not everything. In the 100-point election program of the ÖVP, three points are devoted to climate protection. The Conservatives want to make the Alpine republic the world's "hydrogen country number 1" and Austria's CO2 neutral by 2045. So the country should not emit any more carbon dioxide. From a CO2 tax as they demand the Greens, there is no question.

Also in the migration Vienna can go a different, a harder course than Germany. Undeterred and with great objectivity short names the phenomena of immigration by name: neighborhoods that change a lot, living quarters in which other customs move in, schools whose pupils can barely speak German anymore. When he warns against the "immigration into the social system", he meets a point from the perspective of many Austrians. It is not easy for his political opponents to put him in the very right corner.

CDU and CSU is still on the subject of the massive dispute last year in the bones, even if both sister parties made great efforts to relax. But even with the former CSU chief, Interior Minister Horst Seehofer, the realization prevailed that one plays with hard course and sharp tone only the AfD in the hands.

Meanwhile, the Union is solution-oriented: humanity and order is the buzzword. The topic has calmed down as long as the numbers of refugees remain as manageable as it is currently, but it remains sensitive. In addition, Germany, as the largest economy in Europe, continues to seek an appropriate distribution of refugees among the EU member states. Another contrast to Kurz, who considers a distribution policy the wrong way. As a result, the incentive to escape, the 33-year-old argues.

He faces difficult coalition negotiations, he admits. The FPÖ wants after the electoral disaster in the opposition, the SPÖ is in a similar process as the SPD in Germany and the Greens had sharply distinguished in the election campaign from the ÖVP. At least on this point, a coalition of the CDU, CSU and Greens seems easier to do in Germany than in Austria. After all, they had already made a first attempt with Jamaica.

What can short, what Kramp-Karrenbauer can not? The ÖVP has briefly led from around 20 percent to around 37 percent. So his party is in a completely different situation than CDU. This must be re-established after 18 years under the CDU chairwoman Merkel. And then there's the charisma of the young Austrian, with whom he arrives at many voters.

Source: zeit

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