It would be so wonderfully simple: You looked at the capacities in the intensive care units and you already knew how serious the current danger posed by the corona virus in Germany is.
And it would be immediately clear how relaxed you can be with preventive measures.
According to the formula: free beds - free space for the bar.
But it's not that simple with the corona numbers.
And it is a pity that some pandemic explainers with a large ego on TV talk shows promote just such an all too simple view of the infection process.
Just like the Bonn virologist Hendrik Streeck, who recently
Anne Will and previously in
Welt am Sonntag
that when assessing the situation "one should not limit oneself to the pure numbers of infections", but rather the "inpatient occupancy, intensive care occupancy and the Focus more on the number of tests it takes to find a person who is corona-positive.
TV viewers and readers are wondering: Hasn't that already been done?
Didn't we long ago know that everything is interrelated in a pandemic?
Why is someone polarizing, even calling for a "change of strategy"?
And that with a suggestion that turns out to be a gentle and unsurprising adjustment of the strategy, as Ulrich Montgomery from the World Medical Association laconically states in the show with Will.
Actually, all knowledge and strength should now be brought together to survive the pandemic winter property.
Instead, it contributes to the social division: in professors who are publicly right or wrong - who are better experts or worse.
In-young to medium-young party people and the others.
And that is exactly what endangers everyone in the end.
But some egos are strong: With a tortured professorial expression, the demand is made that politics, the media and the population do not always want to look at the increasing numbers, like rabbits for snakes - or hope for a vaccination.
Subtext: So many beds available, don't be so afraid.
That is the message that sticks.
What may sound super smart is actually cynical.
And it borders on disinformation.
At no point in Germany was there even close to being full of intensive care beds.
Overall, we hardly used any hospital beds.
According to studies by the TU Berlin and others, each bed was occupied by a Covid-19 patient for an average of one day by April, in the high phase of the first wave between March and May perhaps one and a half days.
Only a fraction of the intensive care beds were needed (
Karagiannidis et. Al, 2020), even if it was different regionally and on individual days.
So there is no need to worry or start pseudo-debates because a few intensive care beds are currently being "dismantled".
After all, they won't be rolled onto the dump.
But just no longer kept free as a precaution for people with Covid-19.
In an emergency, they are there.