Virologist Christian Drosten sees an opportunity for Germany to get through the corona pandemic this year without a vaccine. "Maybe we'll miss a second shutdown," he said to the mirror . There is now a theoretical possibility that the Germans can get through without a second wave. For this, it is necessary to readjust the current measures, Drosten said in the NDR podcast.
Drosten receives approval from the Bonn virologist Hendrik Streeck. He also does not believe that Germany is experiencing a huge second corona wave. He suspects that there will always be local outbreaks. "This may also happen more and more surprisingly in the fall - but I don't think we will see a second wave that will literally flood and overwhelm us," Streeck told the newspapers of the editorial network Germany (RND).
Science now has a better understanding of what is happening, said Drosten. We now know more about how the virus spreads - via a few so-called superspreaders, which pass it on to many people. "And it is easier to control such an infection than a uniform spread under the radar, as we initially assumed," said Drosten. According to the virologist, many of the measures that are already in force in Germany also prevented possible superspreading events. It is now assumed that the majority of those infected infect very few or no other people.
According to the Japanese model, one should aim strongly at the early detection of so-called superspreading events: cases in which an infected person infects an above-average number of other people. Contacts should then be considered infected and isolated without prior testing to prevent further infection. Japan's infection curve is crawling down, but the strategy has not been communicated aggressively for a long time.
For example, if a teacher shows an infection, look at the classes he taught last - these students would have to stay at home for a week or two, but you didn't have to close the whole school, said Drosten. In the future, contact persons would only need to spend a good week in isolation, because the incubation period and the time in which a person is contagious is significantly shorter than initially thought.
RKI reports 741 new infections
The health authorities in Germany reported 741 corona infections to the Robert Koch Institute (RKI) within one day. Since the beginning of the Corona crisis, 180,458 people in Germany have demonstrably contracted Sars-CoV-2, the RKI said.
According to RKI figures, 8,450 have been proven to have been infected with the virus so that the number of reported fatalities increased by 39 within 24 hours. According to RKI estimates, a total of 164,100 people have survived the infection, 900 more than a day earlier.
Health authorities not overwhelmed
According to the health authorities, the tracking of corona infections is currently manageable. "At the moment the situation is comparatively relaxed," said Markus Mempel from the German District Council. The Federal Association of Doctors of the Public Health Service (BVÖGD) also certifies that the authorities have good management in the persecution of contact persons. "The health authorities determine reliably and promptly and take the necessary measures to prevent the spread of the disease," said the chairwoman of the association, Ute Teichert.
In order to be able to control the corona crisis, health authorities must be able to understand where someone has been infected. This is the only way to get all people who may have been infected with Sars-CoV-2 into quarantine and to limit the spread of the virus. "It must be our goal to be able to track every chain of infection," Chancellor Angela Merkel (CDU) said in April.