Including the "Covid-19" pandemic and Trump's mistakes
5 reasons that led to Biden winning the US elections
The pandemic period dashed Trump's hopes.
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Biden won the support of young people in swing states.
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No one expected the American election campaign to take place in such circumstances, as it took place in the midst of a pandemic that occurs once a century, and unprecedented social unrest.
Joe Biden was competing for an unconventional and defiant president.
But in his third bid for the presidency, Democratic candidate Biden and his team found a way to overcome political obstacles and demand victory, despite great difficulties and counter-campaigns.
Here are the five reasons why the Delaware car salesman's son won the presidency:
1 The "Covid-19" Pandemic
Perhaps the biggest reason Biden won the presidency was something completely out of his control.
The coronavirus pandemic, along with the deaths of more than 230,000 people, has changed American life and politics in 2020. In the final days of the general election campaign, President Donald Trump himself seemed to admit it.
"With the fake news, there is Covid, Covid, Covid and Covid," the president said at a rally last week in Wisconsin, where cases have risen in recent days.
However, the media focus on "Covid-19" was a reflection rather than a driver of public concern about the epidemic, which translated into unfavorable polls about the president's handling of the crisis.
And a poll conducted by the "Pew" Research Foundation, last month, showed that Biden had a 17 percentage point lead over Trump, when it came to confidence in his handling of the Corona outbreak.
The pandemic and the ensuing economic downturn has pushed Trump out of his favorite message of growth and prosperity in his election campaign.
He also highlighted many Americans' concerns about his presidency, due to his lack of focus at times, a tendency to question science, haphazardly deal with politics, and prioritize the party.
The epidemic was a major burden on Trump's approval ratings, which, according to the Gallup Foundation, fell to 38% at some point during the summer.
It is a point Biden campaign took advantage of.
2 lower appearance
During his political career, Biden gained a good reputation.
However, his inclination to missteps derailed his first presidential campaign in 1987, and this contributed to ensuring that he did not get a great opportunity when he entered the presidential competition, again, in 2007.
In his third attempt to win the Oval Office, Biden still had his share of verbal hiccups, but they were so rare that they did not turn into a real problem.
Part of the explanation for this, of course, is that the president himself was a source of confusion in the statements and news.
Another factor is that there are bigger stories, the Coronavirus pandemic, protests after the death of George Floyd, and economic turmoil, as these developments have dominated national attention.
But some credit must be given to a coordinated strategy by the Biden campaign, to reduce the visibility of their candidate in the media and in the public, to maintain a calculated pace in the campaign, and to reduce the chances of burnout or neglect, which could create problems.
Perhaps in a regular election, when most Americans weren't worried about curbing their exposure to the virus, this strategy would have backfired.
Perhaps then, Trump's mocking approach to Biden could have had an effect.
3 Referendum on Trump
The week before Election Day, Biden's campaign unveiled its latest TV ads with a message, remarkably similar to the one shown at the start of his campaign last year and his acceptance speech, in August.
The announcement stated that the elections were a "battle for the soul of America" and an opportunity for the citizen to put what he described as an end to the division and chaos in the past four years.
But under this banner there was a simple math operation;
Biden gambled on his political credit, to say that Trump was too polarizing and too exciting, and that what the American people want is quieter, more steady leadership.
"I'm tired of Trump's behavior as a person," said Thierry Adams, a French citizen who lived 18 years in Florida and voted for the first time in the presidential election in Miami last week.
Indeed, the Democrats have succeeded in making this election a referendum on Trump, not a bipartite option.
Biden's winning message was simply that "not Trump."
4 stay in the middle
During his campaign to be the Democratic nominee, Biden's competition came from the left, to which he belongs, and it was with Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren, who ran well-funded campaigns, organizing rallies.
Despite this pressure from his liberal wing, Biden stuck to a centrist strategy, refusing to support universal government-run health care, free university education, or a wealth tax.
This allowed him to double his appeal to disaffected moderates and Republicans during the general election campaign.
This strategy was reflected in Biden's choice of Kamala Harris, his running mate, when he could pick someone with stronger left-wing support.
And the only place Biden got close to Sanders and Warren was about the environment and climate change.
He might have argued that the benefits of attracting younger voters, for whom the issue is a priority, was worth the risk to voters in swing states, which rely on energy industries.
5 more money
Earlier this year, Biden's campaign coffers were empty.
The general election campaign has fallen into a disadvantage for Trump, who has spent nearly all of his presidency boosting the election battle fund, which has approached $ 1 billion.
However, from April onwards, the Biden campaign turned into a giant fundraising force, and ended up - in part due to extravagance on the part of the Trump campaign - into a financial position much stronger than that of the opponent.
And at the start of October, Biden's campaign had $ 144 million in cash, more than his Republican rival’s campaign, allowing it to drown Republicans in a torrent of television ads, in nearly every major state.
But in 2020, when personal campaigns were curtailed, due to the Corona virus, and Americans across the country spent much more time consuming the media at home, this allowed Biden's campaign to reach voters and push his message through.
The new and exceptional situation has allowed him to expand the electoral map and put money in what once seemed to be elusive states, such as Texas, Georgia, Ohio and Iowa.
Most of these bets did not bear fruit, but he put Trump at the center of the defense, and changed what was once a reliably conservative region, like Arizona, and remained competitive in Georgia.
The money gives options and campaign initiative;
Biden has put his advantage to good use.
Open up to everyone
Joe Biden spent decades in politics, winning the vice presidency alongside Barack Obama.
Days before leaving office, Obama awarded Biden the "Presidential Medal of Freedom."
The former president said at the time: "To know Joe Biden, means to know the true feelings and service without paying attention to personal interests and life in all its richness."
The Democrats chose Biden as their candidate in the race to the White House, and they did not choose someone younger, or of color, for good reasons.
In this, professor at the University of Missouri, Mitchell Makani, says that he was not surprised, and that "it was Biden's time, and the nation is divided."
The expert, who specializes in analyzing electoral debates, believes that Biden is "a rational, consistent and sensitive politician, who consoles others."
Unlike Trump, who called his opponent "slow joe."
Biden's victory "is a clear indication of the kind of leadership the nation craves."
Bruce Buchanan, a professor and political analyst specializing in government affairs at Austin University, says that Biden is known for his ability to work with his colleagues, even when they disagree with him.
He is said to have cooperated well with the Republicans in Congress, and was a nice, friendly man. ”
Several Republican senators have indicated that they are open to cooperating with Biden if he is elected president.
Biden will be between the anvil of the Republicans and the hammer of the progressive Democrats, who want to pass the "Green New Deal" law.
Among the goals of the bill are combating environmental pollution, cutting out fossil fuels, training workers in line with the new line, and supporting social and climate parity.
Vice President Kamala Harris was a supporter of the bill.
The political analyst, Bouchnan, believes that Biden will face resistance if "too much pressure on climate change or environmental support," and adds that on the other hand, Biden is a "pragmatic" politician.
38%
The percentage of Trump's support decline due to the epidemic
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