Air: IATA revises its 2020 forecasts downwards

Roissy-Charles de Gaulle airport in Roissy-en-France, north of Paris. Thomas SAMSON / AFP

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3 min

Uncertainty continues to hang over the resumption of air traffic because of the health crisis linked to the coronavirus which is increasing in intensity, especially in Europe. The IATA, the International Air Transport Association, forecasts a 60% drop in European traffic this year compared to 2019. For despite the slight improvement in recent months, the new wave of the emerging pandemic threatens well and well the recovery and with it the jobs.

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Along with tourism, it is one of the sectors of the economy that suffers the most from restrictions linked to the health crisis. It is because air transport and tourism have their destinies linked.

The airline industry lobby, IATA, now estimates that more than 7 million jobs are threatened by poor health. Among these jobs are the staff of hotels and tourist sites. This is a million more than what was still estimated in June.

After the collapse in April, an upturn took shape in June. But with the threat of a second wave that seems to materialize, countries are gradually closing their borders to nationals of countries considered at risk. And the sky darkens again for the area.

In France, Great Britain and Germany, the drop in traffic in 2020 is now estimated at 65%. In Spain and Italy, where several cities are being reconfigured, the drop is estimated at 63%. This drop in traffic and more generally, the virtual shutdown of planes since the spring results in a considerable loss of earnings. 419 billion dollars less for the 290 member companies of IATA, which does not envisage a takeover before 2024.

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