The blockade has subjected the Spaniards to a mixture of uncertainty and weariness that comes to light when asked. The survey that Sigma Dos has done for EL MUNDO leaves no doubt: up to 93% of respondents choose to rate the Spanish political situation as regular, bad or very bad. And they are clear who is the main responsible for the electoral repetition being closer every day. Up to 60.7% think that Pedro Sánchez yearns for the return to the polls to improve his results, a conclusion that is easily extracted from his little disguised passivity.

Sanchez's plan is explained if we forget the responsibility of the State and serve only the partisan mobile. The survey we publish today grants a significant but pyrrhic increase to the PSOE that would allow Sanchez to win his endowment with the socialist votes and abstentions of Podemos and ERC. But the abstention of the separatists does not seem too feasible after the failure of a sentence against the coup plotters. For the rest, neither the party of Pablo Iglesias, however diminished his representation, would renounce to put a price on his collaboration neither for the investiture nor for the governability. Sanchez's power was born from the instability sponsored by his censorship partners, and he seems condemned not to know another state. As for the center-right, punished by fragmentation, an alliance of PP and Cs would control the Senate, which should motivate a reflection in both parties.

The data suggest that the socialist candidate - not yet named as such by the King - is stepping on Rajoy's footprints in 2016. Even the numbers match: Rajoy took 123 in the first elections and rose 4.6% in the second, after which he managed to be invested. Sanchez has pulled 123 in April and our survey gives him a 4.7% increase in November. The electoral repetitions benefit the majority parties, more if they are in power. However, the national and international political and economic context has nothing to do. In 2016, separatism had not yet hit and threatened to repeat it again after an adverse court ruling; tail winds blew in the economy in 2016, while the indicators now forecast the shadow of a new recession; in 2016 Trump did not govern the US nor had he declared a destabilizing trade war against China; in 2016 the Brexit referendum had just taken place, but nobody imagined the drastic consummation of the divorce that Boris Johnson intends and that would take place in the middle of the 10-N campaign.

To avoid an economic and institutional deterioration that would affect even the Crown, Sánchez should concentrate his energies on securing his investiture, and not on making campaign accounts to attribute to his competitors the effects of the search for his personal interest.

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