With 160,000 primary and secondary school degrees added in 5 years, can Beijing cool down the “school district fever”
"When one comes out, sell one set." On the 26th, a housing agent in Shangdi Dongli, Haidian District, Beijing, told the CBN reporter.
On the Shell Find Housing App, a reporter from China Business News found that the average listing price of second-hand housing in the community has increased by 4.2% month-on-month in the past week, while the average listing price of second-hand housing in the Shangdi business district, where the community is located, has increased year-on-year. 13.2%.
At present, the listing price of a 50-square-meter house with two bedrooms and one living room is 9.5 million yuan, up nearly 1.5 million yuan from the end of November last year.
The above-mentioned intermediary said that the 12-year one-stop high-quality educational resources is the main selling point of the community.
"At present, there is only one set of houses of this type. Since it was listed on the 22nd, 15 people have viewed the house in 4 days."
According to data from Centaline Property, the transaction volume of second-hand housing in Beijing in 2020 is 169,000 sets, a 4-year high.
School district housing drives second-hand housing, and second-hand housing drives new housing to become a common manifestation of this round of rising housing prices in first-tier cities.
According to incomplete statistics, at present, the most expensive school district in Shenzhen reaches 320,000 yuan per square meter; the most expensive school district in Beijing reaches 250,000 yuan per square meter.
Behind the high housing prices in school districts is the unbalanced distribution of educational resources within the city and the insufficient supply.
A few days ago, the Beijing Municipal Education Commission stated that after the introduction of the “comprehensive two-child” policy, affected by the growth cycle of the birth population, in the next five years, Beijing’s population of the right age will further increase from elementary school to high school, and the pressure for degree demand will become more prominent.
Recently, the "Key Work Arrangements for 2021" announced during the two sessions in Beijing mentioned that 20,000 primary and secondary school degrees will be added this year.
The “Work Plan on Further Strengthening the Construction of School Degrees in the City’s Primary and Secondary Schools” issued by the Beijing Municipal Education Commission in January also mentioned that by 2025, about 150 primary and secondary schools will be built, renovated, expanded, and received in residential areas, and additional degrees will be added after completion. About 160,000.
An increase of more than 10%.
Zhang Bo, Dean of 58 Anju Guest House Industry Research Institute, believes that adding elementary school degrees will alleviate the relative tension of overall educational resources. However, the short-term effect of cooling high-quality school district housing may not be obvious.
"In addition to housing functions, the school district houses themselves have strong resource attributes, which are often easier to show in the recovery market faster. After the Spring Festival, the transaction volume of second-hand school districts in Beijing Dongxicheng may increase."
"School choice fever" does not cool down significantly
In order to promote the equalization of educational resources in the region, Beijing is accelerating the deployment of the "multi-school division" policy.
With the implementation of this policy, the "school choice fever" has not significantly cooled down.
According to the relevant documents of the General Office of the Ministry of Education, the so-called "multi-school division" refers to places where the current allocation of educational resources is unbalanced and the impulse to choose schools is strong. According to the actual situation, hot elementary schools and junior high schools should be distributed to each district to ensure The areas are roughly balanced.
As of 2015, 24 large cities across the country have fully launched a multi-school enrollment policy during the compulsory education stage.
Since 2020, "multi-school division" and "six-year one degree" have become the main ways of enrolling in primary and secondary schools in Beijing.
In April last year, Xicheng District, known as Beijing’s “educational highland”, announced for the first time the policy of “multi-school division” and “one degree in six years”.
According to regulations, after July 31 of the same year, when children of school age who purchased a house in Xicheng District and obtained a housing ownership certificate apply for elementary school, they will no longer be registered for enrollment in the designated school, and all will be in the school district or in the “multi-school division” method. Enroll in the adjacent school district.
This means that in Beijing’s “six districts”, except for Fengtai District, “one degree for six years” is implemented.
At the same time, the six regions will successively promulgate implementation rules for "multi-school division" in 2020.
However, the school district housing fever in Xicheng District remains high.
In November of that year, the volume and price of second-hand housing in Xicheng District rose.
In terms of price, the month-on-month increase was 0.8%; in terms of transaction volume, the month-on-month increase was about 11.5%, and reached a high since 2019.
Chen Sheng, executive director of the China Real Estate Data Research Institute, told China Business News that this is because after the implementation of the "multi-school partitioning" policy, potential home buyers, especially those in school districts who just need housing, are more inclined to choose to reduce the risk of buying houses. School districts with more balanced educational resources.
According to the requirements of the Ministry of Education, since March 2020, Guangzhou, Suzhou, Shenyang, Shanghai, Chengdu and other places have successively introduced the policy of "Citizens with the same recruitment, private lottery".
In April last year, Beijing also made it clear that the enrollment of compulsory education will be implemented at the same time as public and private schools. Those who exceed the enrollment plan will be randomly admitted by computers.
In Beijing, apart from a few international schools, public schools are more popular with parents.
In Chen Sheng's view, after the implementation of "private lottery", the resources of high-quality public schools will become more scarce, or to some extent promote the housing market in public school districts.
For the parents who are looking for a child to become a dragon, they are faced with a dilemma: to spend millions of house prices to buy a high-quality degree housing; or to risk uncertainty and spend millions of tuition fees to send their children to high-priced private schools ?
Take Guangzhou as an example. As of 2020, the annual tuition of the top ten private schools will be between 185,000 and 65,000.
After the "private-run lottery" policy was introduced, housing in many public school districts in Guangzhou once "jumped."
According to data from the International Education School Choosing Network, the price of private elementary schools in Beijing ranges from 50,000 to 300,000 yuan.
Among them, the schools with higher fees are mainly international bilingual schools, and most of them provide one-stop education from preschool to high school.
Is "school district fever" sustainable?
Lu Ming, a distinguished professor of Shanghai Jiaotong University and executive dean of the China Development Research Institute, recently commented that the fairness of promoting educational resources through “multi-school division” to cool down the “school choice fever” is still to be discussed.
The equalization of educational resources may be achieved through the equalization of educational financial investment.
He further explained that with the expansion of urban areas, it is necessary to increase investment in education in some communities with large population increments to improve the quality of education.
Zhang Bo believes that in the short term, cooling down the "school district fever" still needs to start with policies, and the resource differences brought about by weak chemical zoning will reduce home buyers' expectations for the matching of housing and future school districts.
Recently, during the two sessions in Beijing, Liu Yuhui, director of the Beijing Municipal Education Commission, publicly stated that it will strengthen the sharing of resources among school districts and schools, and improve the efficiency of degree resource utilization.
On the 25th, Wang Fei, director of the Beijing Municipal Commission of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, said that at present, Beijing's housing prices have remained stable, and the increase is at the middle and lower reaches of the first-tier cities.
In 2021, we will gradually improve the long-term mechanism of regional regulation and control in accordance with the principle of "city-wide overall planning and implementation of policies based on districts".
At the same time, special actions will be launched in the near future to combat malicious speculation and illegal funds entering the property market.
A reporter from China Business News noted that during the 2021 local two sessions, in addition to Beijing, Chengdu, Guangzhou, Tianjin and other places have also proposed to focus on education equity, increase the supply of primary and secondary school degrees, and promote the equalization of public resources.
Among them, Cha Jide, head of the Planning and Construction Division of the Guangzhou Education Bureau, mentioned that the coverage of high-quality educational resources will be expanded around the goals and tasks proposed in the "14th Five-Year Plan".
By 2022, a total of 190,000 new degrees will be added.
Zhang Bo believes that in the long run, the equalization of education is a general trend, but before it is fully implemented, the popularity of the school district will still be maintained.
Therefore, in the second-hand housing market, school districts are still a more important factor of concern.
Author: Wu Simin