20 out of 24 teams have already played in the European Football Championship.
On this Tuesday, it is finally the turn of national coach Joachim Löw's German selection.
And that against what many believe is the toughest opponent you can get at this tournament.
France!
The world champion!
The top favorite!
Do you have to look black for the team of the German Football Association (DFB) before the game in Munich (9 p.m. in the FAZ live ticker for the European Football Championship, on ZDF and on MagentaTV)?
Tobias Rabe
Responsible editor for Sport Online.
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Oh no! The calculation model by Daniel Memmert and Fabian Wunderlich shows a positive result for Löw, the players and the fans. Because the DFB team is not as hopeless as some think. The data from the betting market, which includes all current variables, is used to calculate the probability of victory for both teams. From these calculations, everyone can look forward to a very exciting game.
It is 33.9 percent likely that the German team will even leave the field as the winner at the end of the evening. That's not so bad for the 2014 world champion in a duel with the 2018 one. The French win 35.7 percent, which is only slightly more than the probability of a German success. And a draw is also quite possible: 30.4 percent speak in favor of both teams receiving a point in the end.
Before that, the German-French group opponents play their duel in Budapest: Hungary meets European champions Portugal (6 p.m. in the FAZ live ticker for the European Football Championship, on ZDF and on MagentaTV).
The roles are much more clearly distributed than in the classic that follows.
64.2 percent indicate that Cristiano Ronaldo and Co. get three points at the beginning.
Only 13.2 percent speak for a victory for Hungary, and 22.6 percent for a draw.
And what do I do now with my knowledge? The best thing to do is to try your luck in the EM prediction game on FAZ.NET. There are prizes worth a total of 8,000 euros to be won.