The opening game of the European Football Championship in Rome on Friday evening was a clear thing - as predicted.

The Italians defeated Turkey 3-0 and were happy about a successful start to the tournament, which is played out quite scattered.

On this Saturday, the EM begins with its restless preliminary round program with several games on one day.

Daniel Memmert and Fabian Wunderlich's calculation model calculated the teams' probability of victory.

Tobias Rabe

Responsible editor for Sport Online.

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    It starts with the duel between Wales and Switzerland - in Asia (3 p.m. in the FAZ live ticker for the European Football Championship and on MagentaTV). At the game in Baku in Azerbaijan, who will create the best starting position for the quarter-finals behind the victorious Italians, who are favored in this group anyway? The tendency is clearly towards the Confederates. Even if Wales were still in the semi-finals at the EM five years ago, there is a lot to be said for a Swiss victory (44 percent), clearly less for Wales (24.5 percent).

    The second game of the day (6:00 p.m. in the FAZ live ticker for the European Football Championship, on ZDF and MagentaTV) is in Group B. Denmark has a home game in Copenhagen against their Nordic rivals from Finland. And here the roles are even more clearly distributed than in the early game. Denmark wins 66.1 percent. Very little speaks for a Finnish success at the premiere at a major football tournament, more precisely only 10.8 percent.

    At the end of Saturday, one of the favorites for the European Championship comes into play (9 p.m. in the FAZ live ticker for the European Football Championship, on ZDF and on MagentaTV): Belgium meets Russia.

    In the overall forecast, the “Red Devils” are in third place behind France and England with a title probability of 11.8 percent.

    Although the Russians have a home game, only 18.5 percent speaks for a win, while the Belgians are 55.3 percent.

    And what do I do now with my knowledge?

    The best thing to do is to try your luck in the EM prediction game on FAZ.NET.

    There are prizes worth a total of 8,000 euros to be won.