Sweden won eleven medals in the Rio Olympics 2016, of which two gold, Sarah Sjöström and Jenny Rissveds.

But in Tokyo this summer, there will be significantly more gold, if you can believe the statistics company Gracenote.

Ahead of every Olympics since 2010, the company has made a virtual medal.

The forecast is based on results in previous Olympics, World Cups and World Cups.

The discus thrower Daniel Ståhl, the pole vaulter Armand Duplantis, the sailing duo Anton Dahlberg / Fredrik Bergström and Sarah Sjöström are tipped to take gold, of which the swimmer becomes a double Olympic champion.

Four new gold medalists

In the Swedish quintet, only Sjöström has previously won a medal and gold in an Olympic game.

Ståhl was a medal candidate in Rio but missed the final, Dahlberg / Bergström finished sixth in Brazil and world record holder Duplantis makes his Olympic debut in Japan.

Because the pandemic has a limited number of competitions, the forecast is based on fewer results and therefore "more uncertain than usual", according to Gracenote.

Best since 1956

Sweden has never won exactly five golds in a summer Olympics, the closest being four (2004, 2000, 1972 and 1924) or more.

The last time Sweden took more than four golds was in Melbourne in 1956 when there were eight medals of the noblest denomination.

More than eleven Swedish medals in an Olympics were most recently in Sydney 2000, when there were twelve medals.

In the last Olympics in Pyeongchang, Sweden took a medal smaller than what Gracenote predicted.

For Tokyo, the forecast is in good agreement with the hopes of the Swedish Olympic Committee.

Last year, with one year left until the Olympics, operations manager Peter Reinebo judged that Sweden had medal potential in 15 sports with a probable outcome of 8-12 medals.

SOK's final medal goal is set at the end of June.