MANUAL
We warn you right away, it's not easy to understand, or even explain. The draw for the final round of Euro 2020 football taking place this Saturday in Bucharest (at 18 hours) is one of the most complex in the history of the draws. Blame it on a European Championship without a real host country. The fault also geopolitics, which prevents some countries from confronting each other. But also to these new dams, which will be contested after the draw and which could redistribute the cards in the spring. We explain all the subtleties.
A draw not final
Things are complicated before it even started. And there are (at least) four reasons for this:
The distribution has already begun
Let's go back to something simple to better start in the complex later. Already qualified teams are poured into four hats to form the groups.
- Hat 1 : Belgium, Italy, England, Germany, Spain, Ukraine.
- Hat 2: France, Poland, Switzerland, Croatia, Netherlands, Russia.
- Hat 3: Portugal, Turkey, Denmark, Austria, Sweden, Czech Republic.
- Hat 4: Wales, Finland, the four jumpers.
Until then, it's clear. In a normal draw, we would take a team from each hat to form the six groups of four teams. But, in addition to the rule of the country-who-plays-at-home, we must add the principle of the country-which-can-absolutely-not-face-another for geopolitical reasons. UEFA has banned Russia from facing Ukraine and Kosovo.
As a result of all these rules set out above, here are the possible groups (in bold, countries assured to be placed here):
- Group A (Rome and Baku)
Italy
France / Poland / Switzerland / Croatia
Portugal / Turkey / Austria / Sweden / Czech Republic
Finland / Wales
- Group B (St. Petersburg and Copenhagen)
Belgium
Russia
Denmark
Finland / Wales
- Group C (Amsterdam and Bucharest)
Ukraine
Netherlands
Portugal / Turkey / Austria / Sweden / Czech Republic
Winner of the dams, Track A (only if Romania) or D (Georgia / North Macedonia / Kosovo / Belarus)
If Romania wins Path A, it will go into Group C; the winner of Track D will join Group F. If Iceland, Bulgaria or Hungary win Track A, they will play in Group F; the winner of Track D will complete Group C.
- Group D (London and Glasgow)
England
France / Poland / Switzerland / Croatia
Portugal / Turkey / Austria / Sweden / Czech Republic
Winner of the Dams, Road C (Scotland / Norway / Serbia / Israel)
- Group E (Bilbao and Dublin)
Spain
France / Poland / Switzerland / Croatia
Portugal / Turkey / Austria / Sweden / Czech Republic
Winner of the Dams, Track B (Bosnia and Herzegovina / Slovakia / Republic of Ireland / Northern Ireland)
- Group F (Munich and Budapest)
Germany
France / Poland / Switzerland / Croatia
Portugal / Turkey / Austria / Sweden / Czech Republic
Winner of the Dams, Track A (Iceland / Bulgaria / Hungary) or D (Georgia / North Macedonia / Kosovo / Belarus)
The Way of the Hat 4 team will be determined as follows: If Iceland, Bulgaria or Hungary win Track A, they will go to Group F; the winner of Track D going to Group C. If Romania wins Track A, she will go to Group C; the winner of Track D will go to Group F.
And France in all this?
The French team is placed in hat 2, paying his two missteps against Turkey (2-0 defeat in Turkey and 1-1 draw at the Stade de France). Two disappointing performances put her in seventh place in the standings of the teams that finished first in their group during the qualifying phase. Removing the two games against the last of the pool (two wins against Moldova), the Blues are left with 19 points behind Belgium and Italy (24 points), England, Germany (21 points ) and Spain and Ukraine (20 points). These are the six teams that will compose hat 1.
As some teams in hat 2 have already been placed in groups, we know who France will not face: Belgium, Russia, Denmark, Ukraine and the Netherlands.
He only has four big pieces of hat 1: Italy, England, Spain and Germany.
The best draw for France: Italy, Czech Republic, the winner of the dam of the D track (Georgia, North Macedonia, Kosovo or Byelorussia)
The worst: England or Germany, Portugal, Wales