The 'rush' of the PP in Cantabria fails to unseat a downward Revilla

• La Rioja The PP touches the majority to govern without needing Vox

• Region of Murcia López Miras would win the elections, would surpass the entire left and could govern without Vox

Miguel Ángel Revilla has the numbers to repeat as president of

at 80 years of age.

It would therefore be his fifth term since 2003, with a break in the 2011-2015 period in which the PP governed.

's political television

continues to show his accounts thanks to the PSOE, with which he could revalidate the coalition executive alone for another four years.

Or, if necessary, he could even pull United We Can to expand his mattress.

The

survey for

detects a strong rise in the PP but it would still be insufficient to face the bloc that the Regionalist Party of Cantabria (PRC) and the PSOE have formed for years.

The

would be the most voted force with 33.4%.

Almost 10 points more than four years ago.

Which would translate into 12 seats.

His problem is that he can only agree with Vox, which is managed in vote figures of around 8% and two or three regional deputies.

The sum of both forces is far from the 18 seats that mark the absolute majority.

In the most favorable range of the survey they are at 15.

Citizens cannot provide any deputy because they would disappear from the Parliament of Cantabria with a voting intention of 1.8%.

Its three seats from the last legislature are now assumed by the PP.

Therefore, the regionalists are in great condition to continue four more years at the head of Cantabria.

Plaster that suffer a drop of almost six points.

The PRC is at 31.8% of the votes, when four years ago it reached 37.6%.

Despite this notable drop, the party resists with 12 seats, two less than before, and can stand in the negotiations with the PSOE with the strength that it gives it to double the seats of the Socialists, who are at 18.1% and would achieve between six and seven seats.

The loss of support for the PRC could be due to the uncertainty caused by Revilla's age in the electorate.

When he made the decision to run again, he assured that it would be for the four years of the legislature, but at the age of 80 -he turned in January- health rules and it will depend on how he treats him.

In addition, no one escapes that the PRC must take steps during these years to prepare for its replacement.

Without a doubt, it is a dizzying future for the formation, since it is still a party that has grown marked by the personality and fame of Revilla.

Doubts about the Cantabrian president are reflected very well in the transfer of votes.

The PRC has very few leaks to other parties, but a third of its electorate is "undecided", not knowing what to do.

It is the highest figure among the largest parties in the community.

In the PP and the PSOE it is 23%, which is 10 points less than what happens with the PRC.

For now, Revilla will be given the sum to continue as president, although we will have to see how the crisis of credibility of the PSOE ends up having an impact due to the controversy over the size of the trains and if the enormous anger over the delay causes vote movements towards the opposition.

In any case, Revilla has sought to shorten that space for the PP.

He was the first to express his indignation and attack the

.

The list of parties with Unidas Podemos representation closes, which for the first time is presented in some regional ones in Cantabria with IU and Podemos hand in hand.

It is in figures above 5% of the vote and would achieve two deputies.

A priori, their participation would not be necessary to build a government majority.

In the evaluation of leaders, Revilla stands out with a 4.6 and very good scores between his team and the PSOE.

They are followed with a 4.2 by the candidates from the PP,

, and from the PSOE,

.

(UP) and

(Vox) get a three.

THE 'POPULAR', ON THE EDGE OF THE ABSOLUTE MAJORITY IN SANTANDER

THE FALL OF THE PRC AND THE STAGNATION OF THE PSOE LEAVES THE LEFT FAR

The PP is on its way to revalidate the

and even aspires to be able to do so with an absolute majority if it continues to devour Ciudadanos, its government partner for the last four years and who will foreseeably remain without representation in the city council.

The

mayoress ,

, would achieve more than 42% of the votes with an increase of almost seven points compared to the result of 2019. This would mean achieving her third term, after in 2016 she came to replace Íñigo de la

, when he was elected minister by Mariano Rajoy.

survey

for

places the

with 13 seats, just one away from reaching an absolute majority.

That figure would be enough for Igual to continue leading if he agrees with Vox, who would more than complete the support threshold that the mayoress needs with her two or three councilors. Those of Santiago Abascal move in a percentage of the vote of 9.2% , four points more than in 2019.

The other side of the coin is the left, which the capital of Cantabria continues to resist despite its good prospects at the regional level.

The PSOE barely picks up the drop in the PRC although it rises as the first party of the block with 24.9% and seven or eight councillors.

Go up a point and a half.

On the other hand, Miguel Ángel Revilla's party suffered a notable decline.

He is now at 15.2% support and four seats.

Compared to 2019, there are almost four points less in votes and one councilor lost.

For its part, IU is at 4.5% and touches a councilor and Podemos is at 1.3%.

According to the criteria of The Trust Project

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• Regionalist Party of Cantabria

• PSOE

• PP

• Santander

• Cantabria

• vox

• Can

• UI

• United We Can