An unpopular Biden tries to regain the initiative with his State of the Union Address

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Joe Biden plans to launch his government program for the second half of the term on Tuesday night (early Wednesday morning in Spain): two years in which, as his own strategists predicted,

that allowed him to pass the most ambitious package of laws achieved by any US president since Lyndon B. Johnson, who ruled from 1962 to 1968.

The biggest infrastructure plan in 65 years, the first law

, and a massive investment plan in

technology and the energy transition that has angered its European allies, who consider it "protectionist" are the main achievements of these two years.

Meanwhile, the United States has escaped hyperinflation, with the CPI at a 6-month low, looks set to shake itself out of recession, and has the lowest unemployment rate in 53 years and 8 months, meaning since May 1969. .

The White House believes that all these achievements should be more than enough reason for Biden to have a high popularity and to be able to look optimistically at a possible re-election in 2024. And the White House is wrong.

According to the website specialized in statistics, the president barely has the support of 42.2% of public opinion.

There is, apart, something much more serious: only 37% of Democrats want Biden to run for re-election.

That means that in the primaries the president would be extremely vulnerable to any rival.

It also seems to indicate that in a general Biden would not resist the Republican governor of Florida Ron DeSantis, although the polls show him better off in a race against his predecessor Donald Trump, who is also going to participate in the elections.

Of course, if there is one thing that should be ignored in 21st century American politics, it is the polls.

Just two and a half months ago, all gave a victory by a landslide for the Republicans in the legislative elections and, in the end, the elections ended in a tie between the two great parties that absolutely nobody had foreseen.

With so much uncertainty, Biden's speech was going to focus on the collaboration between the two big parties, which is what has allowed him to carry out some of the laws mentioned above.

The conciliatory tone is one of Biden's keys, which thus tries to achieve two things.

The most obvious,

, in a strategy that, to date, has given very good results in part due to the wild, populist character, and opposition to any form of dialogue of the radical group of the opposition

The second advantage is that in the United States the president - head of state and government, after all - is supposed to play a consensus-seeking role.

Against him, however, he will play his stutter, his lousy oratory and, above all, something more worrying: his constant memory

, which have generated the impression that he is incapable of governing.

All of this was to be combined with a few doses of populism.

Among them: attacks on China, especially after the spy-balloon incident shot down on Saturday, careful

of the black minority, without which Democrats cannot dream of winning an election, and recommitment to Ukraine in its war. against Russia.

And, also, with attacks on the technology companies in Silicon Valley, which due to their power and influence

of both Democrats -who consider them too big and influential- and Republicans -who see them excessively

- so everyone agrees that regulatory agencies need to be tough on them.

According to the criteria of The Trust Project

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