Arthur de Laborde, edited by Laura Laplaud 06:43, November 02, 2022

In just ten days, the Prime Minister drew three 49.3s which triggered the filing of five motions of censure by the opposition.

This Wednesday afternoon, the debates resume in the National Assembly for a session devoted to the budget.

Elisabeth Borne could still draw the 49.3 and continues to agitate the threat of dissolution.

At the National Assembly, the day could once again be hectic.

After a day of rest, work resumes this Wednesday afternoon at the National Assembly for a public session still devoted to the budget.

The government could still draw 49.3, which should give rise to new motions of censure.

If the opposition overthrows the government, the executive continues to threaten dissolution.

After Emmanuel Macron, Elisabeth Borne mentioned it for the first time publicly on the sidelines of a trip to Lisbon this weekend: "Returning to the polls can be a path," said the Prime Minister.

Can the president really walk the talk?

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Should the National Assembly be dissolved?

This remains very unlikely because dissolving the Assembly would amount to organizing new legislative elections.

However, in the Macronist camp, almost everyone thinks they are losing the majority.

There is therefore a large part of bluff in this threat of dissolution.

It is aimed above all at the Republicans (LR), the only ones capable of overthrowing the government by allying with the Nupes and the National Rally (RN).

Returning to the polls may not be a good idea for everyone

However, the LRs, too, have no interest in returning to the polls.

They will not move immediately, while vagueness will reign in the party at least for another month, until the designation of the new leader.

La Nupes for its part has lost its momentum like Jean-Luc Mélenchon who is falling in the polls.

Conversely, Marine Le Pen has continued to rise in voting intentions since the start of the school year.

The RN thus appears to be the only political force capable of winning seats if legislative elections were to be organized soon.