Nobel Prize for Literature, announcement Thursday. And the 'toto-names' starts, between Fosse and Houellebecq

Two days after the Swedish Academy's expected announcement (Thursday 6 October at 1pm), the

returns to warm up the engines of

, the British betting sites that practice making predictions on who will get the 'scope of recognition.

By reporting favorites and rising (or falling) names, the countdown to know who will be the "graduate" author has already started;

meanwhile, the so-called 'toto-betting' on the writer (or the writer) who could get the highest literary prize in the world goes crazy.

Some names are not new and have been appearing in the charts for years: from the timeless Japanese writer

to the Canadian

(but there is also compatriot

), it must however be said that these three authors are downhill in the last hours .

On the contrary, there seems to be a shift towards a Scandinavian name: the competition is led by

, 63, a Norwegian writer and playwright, whose works have been translated into more than forty languages.

Even the Swedish press, which has been following the 'toto-Nobel' with particular attention for weeks, considers Fosse one of the most likely names for the victory, hypothesizing two other Norwegians together with him:

and

.

The prices of the American

and the Hungarian

also rose .

On the other hand, in addition to Murakami, Atwood and Carson, those of the Russian

.

Until a few days ago the British betting sites gave the controversial French author

as the most favorite , from whose pen

,

and

came out .

His latest novel, released last January, is

, published in Italy - like the others - by 'La Nave di Teseo'.

, the celebrated author of the

, also climbed the rankings

.

In his case, the rise in prices is mainly linked to the attack on 12 August at the literary festival of Chautauqua, in New York, in which the Anglo-Indian author risked his life: hit in the neck with a knife by a young man from Lebanese origin (who later admitted that he had never read his 'indicted' title), Rushdie has been an appreciated international author for years and fights for freedom of expression against religious obscurantism.

In addition, Bernard Henri-Lévy has openly spent for him in recent weeks, publishing an appeal for Rushdie to be awarded the Nobel: "I can't imagine, today, any other writer who has the audacity to deserve it more than him" .

But among the eligible candidates there are also, for Italy,

and the mysterious writer

, a

that could hide even a writer: in recent times, he has gained many positions.

The French

, the Hungarian

, the American

and the Czech naturalized Frenchman

are back .

But the bets do not stop and in the pinwheel here is again the Kenyan

, the Caribbean English-speaking writer

, the Romanian

and the Nigerian

.

We must not forget, however, that guessing the winner's name remains an impossible task.

By regulation, the names are very secret and the

being examined by the jurors is super armored.

Up to now, out of 118 graduates, 16 women have been awarded: the last of her,

in 2020, “for her unmistakable poetic voice that with austere beauty makes individual existence universal”.

The youngest winner was

, who in 1907 at the age of 41 obtained the Nobel;

the oldest was

, awarded in 2007 at 88 years old.

The last Italian name is that of

, in 1997.

After the sex scandals that blew up the 2018 edition, the double assignment in 2019 to

and the disputed

, the restrictions for Covid 19 in 2020, the somewhat subdued recovery in 2021 due to the aftermath of the pandemic, that of 2022 seems to be the edition of the return to tradition: making it win for an author of great international success, both in critics and the public, could mark this expected relaunch.