The latest polls place the far-right Brothers of Italy party as the favorite in the elections

• Elections Italy, on the way to becoming the first major economy in the EU with a far-right leader

The unprecedented electoral campaign in August does not seem to have excited the Italians so far, although there have been reasons of interest (from the formation of alliances to the election of candidates, and the presentation of programs).

Everything, accompanied by the usual confrontation between parties that usually heats up the atmosphere.

According to the survey by Nando Pagnoncelli, general director of Ipsos Italy, the far-right

party would be the most voted in the elections on September 25, called for the country to come out of the political crisis in which it has been stuck since Prime Minister

lost the support of his allies to continue governing.

The Brothers of Italy would thus obtain 24% of the votes (which represents an increase of 0.7%), one point above the

(PD), which would stand at 23%.

In third place would be the

(with a stable 13.4%) and the 5-Star Movement (in slight increase, also at 13.4%).

They are followed

(8%), Acción Italia (5%), the alliance between the Left and the Greens (4.1%) and the Italexit party (3).

Abstention stands at 38.3%.

A little more than three weeks before Italians go to the polls, the center-right clearly prevails over the center-left (they add up to 46.4% compared to 29.9%).

Regarding the predictions of what will happen, 39% believe that the party led by

will win the elections against 13% who believe that the victory will be for the Democratic Party.

It should be noted that optimism is higher among center-right voters (59% bet on a victory for the Brothers of Italy) than center-left voters (42% believe that the Democratic Party will win).

This could benefit Giorgia Meloni, as most undecided voters usually jump on the bandwagon of the clear winners.

voter apathy

The survey reveals other realities, such as the disconnection or lack of interest of Italians in politics.

ahead of the elections.

It also seems clear that the majority of voters will choose a particular party or coalition more (77%) than for a specific candidate on a list (23%).

The coldness that a large part of the voters shows towards the electoral appointment is due to a couple of factors, which are added to the growing distance of citizens from politics (a widespread phenomenon in many countries).

First of all, the summer period, usually dedicated to vacations, which this year also represented, for many Italians, "a period of lightness and escape", a kind of "total freedom" after

caused by the pandemic, with the result of diverting attention and thoughts from the political debate;

second, the end of

which was incomprehensible to the vast majority of Italians and exacerbated disappointment and disenchantment among citizens.

And, speaking of Draghi and the executive, there is an unprecedented figure from the survey, that of the constant growth of his appreciation after the resignation.

Compared to the end of July,

, standing respectively at 63 and 67, values ​​very close to those at the beginning of the mandate and slightly lower than those obtained at the end of the campaign of vaccination, in the months of June and July of last year.

The electoral campaign is underway and the fact that

(in 2018 they were 25% of the voters) should not be underestimated, so that, although the trends are clear, the distance between the competitors could change compared to today's photograph, as well as the ranking of the matches.

Abstentionism represents an unknown quantity, although everything indicates that it will increase with respect to the previous elections and will be concentrated above all in the social segments with the most difficulties.

Finally, there is a

which do not seem to penalize the political forces that led to the end of the executive and favor the main opposition party to the Draghi government.

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