As global space exploration increases and the number of rocket launches increases, there is at least a 10% chance of a fatal accident occurring over the next 10 years due to the wreckage of an out-of-control rocket falling to Earth. A research team at a Canadian university summarized the analysis result that it climbs.
The results of this analysis were compiled by research teams such as the University of British Columbia in Canada.
Over the last 30 years, more than 1,500 rocket debris have fallen to Earth, 70% of which are believed to have gone out of control, according to the researchers.
The research team analyzed the probability of accidents due to these remnants based on the number of remnants currently in orbit and the pace at which they fell to the earth in the past.
They found that over the next 10 years, there is at least a 10% chance of someone being killed or injured by an out-of-control rocket wreckage fall.
According to the research team, the risk of such accidents has been considered negligible so far.
The research team points out that the technology to safely drop rockets already exists, but ``due to cost, countries and companies are reluctant to adopt such technology.''
And as space development becomes more active and the number of rocket launches increases, he warns that countries should take countermeasures, such as mandating safe and controlled falls.