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Despite the fact that a year has passed since the conservative movement returned to power, the debate continues inside Iran about the feasibility of the nuclear agreement, with the difference that the opposition during the previous government of Hassan Rouhani has become in the camp of loyalists to the government of Ibrahim Raisi, and controls the majority of parliamentary seats with great influence. decision centers.

At a time when the Vienna negotiations aimed at reviving the nuclear agreement are facing clear differences between Tehran on the one hand and Western capitals on the other, two camps are emerging in the Iranian arena, one of which is pushing towards reviving the nuclear agreement, while the other warns of the repercussions of returning to an agreement that the United States withdrew from in 2018.

After the return of the Iranian negotiating delegation from the Swiss capital, Tehran began at the level of experts to study ideas put forward by the European coordinator for the nuclear negotiations in Vienna, and the reformists confirmed their support for reviving the nuclear agreement, but the conservative movement expressed pessimism about American intentions regarding resolving this file.

Abtahi: The reformists' consensus on reviving the nuclear agreement to reduce tension with foreign powers and overcome the sanctions crisis (Iranian press)

The position of the reformers

Prominent reformist Muhammad Ali Abtahi, head of the office of former President Muhammad Khatami, affirmed that his current unanimously agrees on the necessity of reviving the nuclear agreement in accordance with the principle of reducing tension with foreign powers, helping the national economy and overcoming the crises the country is facing as a result of sanctions.

In his speech to Al-Jazeera Net, Abtahi accused the conservative movement of taking the opposition to the nuclear agreement as a ride to reach power, considering the conservatives' acceptance to return to the negotiating table stemming from a conviction reached by a spectrum of them that they have no way out of the impasse other than resolving the thorny issues in the nuclear file.

He believed that "the contradiction of the conservative movement in opposing the nuclear agreement during the Rouhani government and supporting negotiations aimed at reviving it in the era of Raisi is due to political behavior," adding that some of them still oppose the nuclear agreement on ideological grounds.

The reformist politician concluded that the conservatives' control of the most important decision-making centers put them in front of the challenge of public opinion, which they promised to improve living, stressing that the disparity in the conservative camp will not prevent the revival of the nuclear agreement in light of the fear of losing the spectrum that supported them in the last elections.


conservative position

On the other hand, Hussein Kanaani, Moghadam, Secretary-General of the conservative Sabz Party (the Greens), refers to the proverb that “a sane person is not bitten twice from the same hole,” attributing the reason for the conservative opposition to reviving the nuclear agreement to the lack of confidence in the United States, which unilaterally withdrew from the 2015 nuclear agreement. .

Kanaani Moghadam, speaking to Al-Jazeera Net, said that the victory of the conservative candidates in the recent parliamentary and presidential elections had dispelled their concerns, adding that despite the presence of different voices regarding the revival of the nuclear agreement in the conservative camp, the discrepancy would not prevent the signing of an agreement leading to the revival of the nuclear agreement in If it meets the national interests.

The conservative politician described his country as a state of institutions, each of which has a mission to ensure national interests, stressing that the National Security Council is the one that supervises the nuclear negotiations and that some positions regarding the Vienna negotiations may harm the national consensus on the nuclear file.

Kanaani Moghadam said that he expects to reach an agreement with the 1 + 4 group (the signatories to the nuclear agreement) to revive it during the coming period, noting that the potential agreement will be governed by notes and conditions that will complicate its implementation in the future and that it will not last long.

Hussein Kanaani Moghadam explains the conservative opposition to reviving the agreement with the lack of confidence in the United States (communication sites)

Plan B

In response to a question about the reason for warning a group from the conservative movement of the repercussions of any return to the nuclear agreement on the future of Iran, Kanaani Moghadam said that his country had endured the harshest pressures as a result of the sanctions of the United States, which had taken the initiative to veto the nuclear agreement, and that he had previously suggested developing his country’s nuclear program and raising the rate of uranium enrichment to 90% if the nuclear negotiations fail.

The Secretary-General of the conservative Sabz Party considered that the control imposed on Iran's nuclear program is no less than that of the nuclear threshold states (states capable of producing nuclear weapons or at least enriching uranium and plutonium).

And he demanded that Tehran prove its practical ability to manufacture a nuclear bomb without manufacturing it, in case the US side refrains from meeting Iranian demands.

Kanaani said that turning the country into a nuclear threshold state would reduce pressure on the people, and would enable Tehran to attend any future negotiations out of force.

Motahar Niya plays down the feasibility of returning to the 2015 agreement and says that any possible agreement will not last long (Iranian press)

The feasibility of reviving it

Away from the difference on the home front of the nuclear agreement, academic researcher in political affairs Mahdi Motahar Nia believes that missing the opportunity to revive the nuclear agreement two years ago has emptied the agreement of its content, and that its revival is no longer feasible to overcome economic obstacles.

Motahar Nia, in an interview with Al-Jazeera Net, expected that the last round of the Vienna nuclear negotiations would not lead to the revival of the agreement concluded in 2015, and that any possible agreement would be fragile and would not last long and might not benefit the national economy.