National Health Commission: During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, the total population will enter a stage of negative growth

China's National Health Commission: During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, the total population will enter a stage of negative growth

　　China News Service, Beijing, August 1. The magazine "Seeking Truth" published on August 1 published an article entitled "Writing a New Chapter of Population Work in the New Era", signed "Party Group of the National Health and Health Commission of the Communist Party of China".

The article pointed out that under the negative population growth, "low birthrate and aging" will become the norm, and the total population will enter a stage of negative growth during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period.

　　Talking about the achievements of China's population work since the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, the article mentioned that the population development situation has improved.

According to the seventh national census, the proportion of children aged 0 to 14 in the total population has increased from 16.60% in 2010 to 17.95% in 2020.

The proportion of the second child and above in the birth population has increased from about 35% before the policy adjustment to more than 55% in recent years.

The sex ratio at birth has dropped from 118 in 2010 to around 111 in 2020, gradually tending to a normal level.

　　The average life expectancy of residents increased from 74.83 years in 2010 to 77.93 years in 2020, the average years of education for people aged 15 and over increased from 9.08 years in 2010 to 9.91 years in 2020, and the urbanization rate of permanent residents increased from 2010. 49.68% in 2020 rose to 63.89% in 2020.

　　The article also mentioned that the level of prenatal and postnatal care has been significantly improved.

Fully implement the five systems of maternal and infant safety, carry out pregnancy risk assessment and project management of high-risk pregnant women, and establish and improve a nationwide network for the treatment of critically ill pregnant women and newborns.

Up to now, 3,364 treatment centers for critically ill pregnant women and 3,070 treatment centers for critically ill newborns have been established nationwide.

Implement maternal health care services and comprehensive prevention and treatment of birth defects, standardize the development of assisted reproductive technology services, and actively promote early childhood development.

　　In 2021, the maternal mortality rate will drop to 16.1 per 100,000, and the infant mortality rate and the mortality rate of children under 5 will drop to 5.0 per thousand and 7.1 per thousand respectively, ranking among the top middle- and high-income countries in the world.

In 2021, compared with 2011, the maternal mortality rate will decrease by 38%, the infant mortality rate will decrease by 58%, and the under-5 mortality rate will decrease by 54%.

　　The article stated that in the early 1970s, China implemented family planning in urban and rural areas. The transformation has strongly supported the cause of reform and opening up and socialist modernization, significantly improved the living and development conditions of the people, and laid a solid foundation for winning the battle against poverty and building a moderately prosperous society in an all-round way.

　　The article also pointed out that China's population development in the new era is facing profound and complex changes in the situation: "low birthrate and aging population" will become the norm under the negative population growth.

With the further release of the long-term negative population growth potential, the growth rate of the total population has slowed down significantly, and will enter a stage of negative growth during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period; the fertility level has continued to decline. In recent years, the total fertility rate has dropped below 1.3, and the low fertility rate has become an impact The main risk to China's balanced population development.

　　In addition, the degree of aging is deepening, and it is expected that the population will enter a stage of severe aging around 2035 (over 60 years of age account for more than 30%); families will become smaller, and the average family size will drop to 2.62 in 2020, a decrease of 0.48 compared with 2010. The functions of people, old-age care and child-rearing are weakened; regional imbalances are still prominent, and some areas with fragile ecology and lack of resources are still relatively conflicted between population and development.

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