He expressed his opinion in an article for 19FortyFive.
According to Davis, not everyone dares to think about the catastrophe of the Ukrainian army, because it is “unpleasant”, while the conditions “on the ground” make such an outcome of the confrontation possible.
According to a study by the Modern War Institute, only 20% of recruits who join the Armed Forces of Ukraine have previously fired weapons, the material says.
As the Armed Forces are staffed with less and less experienced military personnel, the risk of the collapse of the Ukrainian army will only increase, the analyst believes.
“Although many things work against Moscow, there are very practical reasons that the West knows that Russia has a real chance of winning, while Kyiv has almost no such path,” writes the American expert.
According to him, the most significant achievement of the Russian forces at the current stage of the operation will be not so much the taking of territories under physical control, but "the destruction of the Armed Forces of Ukraine as a whole."