China News Service, July 14 (Zhang Mingxin) Although the current US President Joe Biden's term is not yet over halfway, news about the 2024 US presidential election has emerged one after another.
On the one hand, the White House stated that Biden will run for re-election; on the other hand, people familiar with Trump also revealed that he will "make a comeback."
Time has changed, and if Trump runs for president again, he will face a more complicated situation than before.
The support rate in the Republican Party is less than half, and the investigation into the riot in the Capitol is still underway... Trump's "comeback" "opponent" is not only Biden.
Data map: Former US President Trump.
Photo by China News Agency reporter Chen Mengtong
Fighting Trump again?
Biden: Will not be disappointed
Recently, Trump has held frequent meetings with current and former advisers to discuss declaring a re-run for the presidency.
The US "Politician" news website reported that Trump also quietly summoned some wealthy and high-profile supporters to a private dinner last week to discuss his 2024 campaign plan and when to announce it.
Earlier, people familiar with the matter said that Trump may announce his participation in the 2024 U.S. presidential election ahead of schedule.
But advisers around him have warned that the time has come for a major campaign announcement.
In response, US President Biden said on July 13 local time that he would not be disappointed if the 2024 presidential election was another confrontation between him and former President Trump.
"I'm not going to make predictions about that," Biden said. "But I'm not going to be disappointed either."
The US "Capitol Hill" quoted Biden as saying that the only thing he knows about politics, especially American politics, is that it is impossible to predict what will happen.
He also said he's less than halfway through his term, "but I want the Republican Party to go back to normal from the 'Make America Greater' party."
Data map: US President Biden.
However, a joint poll conducted by The New York Times and Siena College shows that Biden's approval rating in the Democratic Party has fallen to an unprecedented level, with 64% of Democratic voters preferring someone else to run for president in 2024.
In addition, many voters were dissatisfied with Biden's leadership, leaving his job satisfaction at just 33%.
In the center of the whirlpool of public opinion
How many obstacles are there for Trump's "comeback"?
Although Biden's approval rating in the Democratic Party has gradually declined, Trump is also in a difficult situation if he wants to run for president again.
First, Biden remains a formidable competitor to Trump.
On October 31, 2020 local time, Virginia, the United States ushered in the last day of early voting for the 2020 general election in the United States.
Workers at an early polling station in Arlington, Virginia.
Photo by China News Agency reporter Chen Mengtong
Polls show that Biden will be expected to win again by 44% to 41% if he faces Trump again in the general election in 2024; also, in this case, 92% of Democrats said they would support Biden.
Second, nearly half of Republicans do not support Trump, and another competitor has emerged.
In a separate poll conducted by The New York Times and Siena College, voters were asked to choose their favorite presidential candidate in a hypothetical race between Trump and five other potential Republican rivals.
As a result, 49 percent of primary voters said they would support Trump, but 46 percent supported others.
Polls show Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis will be Trump's biggest rival, with a 25% approval rating in the polls, the only one other than Trump. Double-digit potential candidates.
Notably, DeSantis has the support of a majority of young voters and voters with college degrees.
In addition, the "New York Times" said that after leaving office, Trump spent most of his time excluding dissidents in his party and taking political revenge on those who did not support him to subvert the results of the 2020 election.
In this regard, three-quarters of Republican voters said Trump was "just exercising his right to campaign", but one-fifth of voters believed he was "going too far and threatening American democracy."
On January 6, 2021, local time, the joint meeting of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives to confirm the results of the Electoral College vote was interrupted because supporters of the current President Trump broke into the Capitol and caused large-scale riots. The scene was extremely chaotic.
The picture shows Trump supporters gathered outside the rotunda of the U.S. Capitol.
But it's not just his political opponents that face obstacles.
The Capitol riots in early 2021 have kept Trump at the center of the whirlpool of public opinion.
Recently, a select committee of the U.S. House of Representatives has held several hearings on the investigation into congressional riots.
One of the former White House staffers told the hearing that Trump said he was going to Congress at the time of the unrest, adding that he "didn't care" if protesters were armed.
At that time, as Trump supporters began to rush into Congress, Trump also planned to go, but was blocked by security personnel on security grounds, and at one point, Trump even took the steering wheel himself.
Some Trump allies have previously said that a series of public hearings into the congressional unrest investigation has done more damage to Trump than expected.
The British "Guardian" pointed out that regardless of the outcome of the 2024 election, Trump's consideration of running for president again may provide him with a "protective shield" for many years and divert the attention of prosecutors.
Moreover, most experts believe that Trump's re-running for the presidency would at least complicate any decision to bring criminal charges against him.
In fact, Trump's prospects are similar to those in 2016, when plans were constantly changing and no one knew exactly what to expect.
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